[ad_1]
Belgrade – Epidemiologist Predrag Kon estimated today that in three cities in Serbia there will be an increase in the number of new infected with coronavirus in the next period.
Source: Tanjug
TV screen shot first
Speaking on Pink TV, he said it was about Belgrade, Kragujevac and even Valjevo, adding that it was important how quickly the “acceleration of transmission” of the virus would slow down, as he claimed “depends only on our behavior.”
The corona virus in all the countries of Serbia shows great potential and is transmitted rapidly, because we are entering the autumn-winter period when it is most active, says epidemiologist Predrag Kon, adding that the third peak can last from 12 to 16 weeks.
He told TV Pink that the number of infected people is increasing in Belgrade, but also in Kragujevac and Valjevo, and that it depends on the application of epidemiological measures how much we slow it down.
“It depends on our behavior how much we will slow it down. It can take 12 to 16 weeks with a slowdown. The more we slow it down, the fewer people will have a tragic outcome,” Kon said.
He claimed that many European countries did not have a second peak during the summer, such as Serbia, and that they are only now having another virus outbreak.
Serbia had a second stroke during the summer and an increase in the number of patients, and Kon believes that because of that, our country is better than the rest of Europe at the moment.
He points out that it is important to wear masks outdoors in peak areas where it is impossible to control distances.
“It is recommended to wear a mask everywhere and everywhere. The only country that sticks to the theme of the crown is China, because everyone wears masks all the time.” Thanks to that, such a populated nation survives without a just case, “he emphasized.
Explain that if everyone wears masks, the protection against virus transmission is 99 percent.
If only one person wears a mask and no one around you wears it, then you’re only 30 percent protected.
Kon points out that there is an important collective awareness that the application of the recommended measures can reduce the transmission of the virus while we do not have the vaccine.
“By slowing down the transmission of the virus, we are not only ensuring that the health system survives, but we are surviving the arrival of a vaccine that should provide herd immunity. This is too serious a disease to wait for herd immunity to develop. naturally, “he said.
The number of patients in kovid dispensaries is constantly increasing, so in Belgrade the week before last week was 11.6 percent and last week 20 percent.
Kon says that he is “moved” when he sees people on the street who are disciplined, who wear masks and that you have to understand that sometimes the Crisis tab for the fight against kovid 19 is more serious because they are “very worried”.
“You cannot put aside the fact that the virus is accelerating so dramatically in the immediate vicinity, without seeing the celebrations and some untouchables, as we call them in the medical part of the Crisis tab,” Kon said.
Explain that the behavior must be changed until the virus has spread; otherwise the massive infection will force everyone to change their behavior.
When asked what will happen to the car and whether it will be shut down, Kon said that it is not up to the epidemiologist that the teaching model of the car has been made and that it works.
“Last week there were individual cases of infection in 26 rounds, of which 10 were medium, the week before the last there were 27 rounds.” It is rare to see clearly the transfer in the car, the transfer is done outside of school. , He said.
The procedure is that if two infected students appear in a class, the whole class goes to online classes, so it can happen that ten classes in a school follow the online classes, but that does not mean that the classes are interrupted live in the school.
Supervision, he says, is good in cars and kindergartens, but lacks better supervision of large collectives and entertainment venues.
[ad_2]
