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The third wave of coronavirus will be the longest of all so far, it will bring the highest number of infected so far, almost certainly a record number of deaths, and according to the latest forecasts, it could last until mid-March. However, the end of the corona epidemic in Serbia will not come with it, because the fourth wave is waiting for us!
– There are three types of forecasts, short, medium and long term. In the long term, we cannot say how the corona epidemic will develop in Serbia, in the medium term we can with some probability. Based on current weak signals, the end of the third wave can be seen around March 15. However, the date can approach the New Year, but it can also go until April … – said prof. Dr. Petar Kocovic during a special appearance on TV Prva.
Prof. With the help of mathematical formulas and models, Kočović and his team are following the movement of the corona pandemic around the world.
– Even then, the crown will not be completely extinguished, then we could have, for example, 15 to 30 people infected daily – explained Kocovic.
The peak or peak of this third wave is expected in the coming days.
– We expect the peak in the next ten days, and then the number of infected people should start to decrease. You can “escape” for another day, but it won’t last until the New Year. And I suppose we will introduce some measures – said prof. Kocovic.
However, the situation will not be immediately acceptable. On the contrary.
– The growth will last a total of about 60 or more days, and the decline will be even greater – explained prof. Kočović on Facebook.
One comment, however, surprised everyone who follows the work of prof. Kocovic.
– The fourth wave is known to Serbia, and for other European countries it would be the second or third!
Practically, the fourth wave would start immediately after the end of the third …
How do the calculations work?
– My five-member team of mathematicians and programmers monitors the situation in all 216 countries on a daily basis. We use the Gauss curve (a mathematical model based on the work of the famous German mathematician and physicist Johann Karl Friedrich Gauss) that moves daily. The methodology is unique and based on multiple waves, Kocovic explained previously for “Blic.”
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