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AUTHOR:
DATE AND TIME:
09.10.2020. 08:33
Judging from the forecasters’ announcements, a warm and somewhat drier fall awaits us, while, unlike last year, a harsher winter could come as a surprise.
Snow in Belgrade, Photo: Hello! M Josida
Director of the Hydrometeorological Institute of the Republic prof. Dr. Jugoslav Nikolic recently revealed that statistics currently indicate that this winter could be somewhat colder than the previous two or three.
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“Statistics currently indicate that this winter could be somewhat colder than the previous two or three, with a somewhat greater amount of snow, but we will only know it in the second half of November, when all the experts analyze the situation and harmonize their expectations. “, He said. for Tanjug Nikolić adding that harmonization will be around November 20, when a long-term forecast for winter will be issued.
His colleague RHMZ meteorologist Nedeljko Todorović also explained that with a 60 percent chance, you can tell what summer will be like by looking at summer.
Sneg, Photo: Alo! M Josida
“A period of cold weather was in January 2017, and that repeats every three or four years. Last winter was warm with very little snow. Based on that certain repeatability rate, this winter is likely to be a bit colder and snowier. That is a rough estimate, “Todorović concluded in an interview for RTS.
Climatologist prof. Dr. Vladimir Đurđević explains that long-term forecasts change as the season approaches.
“Current forecasts made in October show a higher probability that winter will be colder than average. However, when forecasting in November, it can be shown that this winter will be medium,” apuntaurđević said.
Over the coming winter, expect temperatures in Europe to be warmer than average over most of the continent, the “Severe Weather Europe” website announced. As they say, that doesn’t mean there won’t be cold days, but colder air mass will be rarer on land.
Snow, Photo: Hello / Masanori Yoshida
According to RHMZ’s seasonal forecast, warm weather will continue into November. December and January are expected to be milder and somewhat drier. RHMZ announces moderate frosts in the third decade of January. When it comes to February and March average temperatures will be slightly above average, there will be more rainfall in March.
Last winter was quite mild and in some parts of Serbia it did not snow at all.
“In the last ten years, we have had several summers that have been extremely hot, so this summer seems mild to us. However, if we look at the summers of the mid-20th century, this summer was much warmer, ”says climatologist Vladimir Đurđević, adding that all seasons are warmer from year to year.
Meteorologist Djordje Đurić says that the winter ahead will almost certainly be colder than the last, and that winters in Serbia have been mild for several years.
“Last winter was extremely mild, there was almost no snow. Winters have been mild for years, and I think the last time we had heavy snowfall was in 2012,” says Đurić.
Winter 2019/2020. it was the fifth warmest in Serbia since 1951. The average air temperature for winter is 3 degrees in Serbia, 2.4 more than the average for the period 1981-2010. year, he writes in the analysis of the Hydrometeorological Institute of the Republic. The highest temperature during the last winter was measured in Kruševac, in February and was 22.2 degrees Celsius, while the lowest was measured in Sjenica, in January, – 20 degrees.
The winter of 2018/19 was wet and cold. Kopaonik has the second winter in terms of the highest seasonal amount of precipitation. The total amount of precipitation in the central and southern parts of Serbia was above and in the extreme north below average values, with temperatures above average values.
The winter of 2017/18 was the twelfth warmest, and the number of days with snow cover in the lower parts of Serbia was in the range of seven to 34 days. Temperatures were above average for this time of year and a cold snap was recorded in late February.
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