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AUTHOR:
DATE AND TIME:
25.10.2020. 07:00
Starting on Sunday, it will be sunny and hot again, while around October 27 another temporary deterioration is possible, mainly in the south of the region.
Weather forecast, Photo: Alo.rs/ Illustration
Meteorologist Marko Čubrilo brings us a detailed forecast for the next period.
The most rainfall can be expected in the southwestern, southern and northern parts of the region, where an average of around 15mm of sediment would fall tonight, which is a relatively high amount for this otherwise dry month.
If the model projections were made, the northern parts of the Adriatic would receive the most rain, especially inland, where a significant amount has already fallen, then Gorski Kotar and the northern part of the central Adriatic, then parts of the center and southern Adriatic, northwest and part of central Bosnia and Herzegovina, especially the east. Slavonia and parts of Vojvodina.
Today, during the day, over the central, northern and eastern areas, it still rains occasionally, but less than today. Above other areas, partly cloudy and mostly dry.
The dance is a bit cooler with highs of 9-16 degrees Celsius, which is within the average for this part of the month.
Since Sunday morning cool, not cold with the onset of local fog, but during the background sunny and relatively warm again, especially Tuesday when the highs will once again exceed 20 degrees Celsius in some places.
Around October 27, the influence of another weak cyclone with clouds and light rain is expected in some places, while for now somewhat more specific precipitation is expected in the southern part of the region. It will get a bit colder, but temperatures will still be quite high during that part of the year.
Starting October 30, anticyclones are expected to strengthen in most of central and eastern Europe, while the western and north-western regions will be affected by strong cyclonic activity.
We have a mostly dry and stable climate, but the exact evolution of the climate on those days will depend on the position of that anticyclone. GFS places its core primarily to the east of us or just above us and simulates a dry, stable, and relatively warm climate with cool, frost-free nights.
The ECMWF positions this anticyclone a little further west, so that mostly dry but cold air would flow along the eastern periphery of that anticyclone, and with variable cloud cover it would be cooler with highs of 8 to 14 degrees Celsius.
We will see how the synoptics will develop these days, both models are quite stable in their simulations, the sets through GFS after November 3 simulate a gradual cooling, while the control and part of the ECMWF set of members after 5 November November simulates a greater relocation of that anticyclone to the west, which gave us dry air, but even colder.
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