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Serbia has entered the red crown zone, according to yesterday’s data from the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), we had 32.27 infected people per 100,000 inhabitants, with a trend of greater growth in the next days.
As announced today by Dr. Predrag Kon, in the best case scenario, if we can reconcile it while respecting all epidemiological measures, this third wave of the crown should last at least 12-16 weeks, that is, until February of next year.
Thus, without any dilemma, the current third stroke will be significantly longer than the first two, which is confirmed by the forecasts of prof. Dr. Petar Kocovic, who with the help of mathematical models and formulas monitors and analyzes the movement of the coronary virus pandemic around the world.
That is, it announced the peak of this third crown wave in Serbia for the end of October and the beginning of November, but the charts comparing the peaks in the three corona waves are especially interesting.
As the image based on the latest results and forecasts shows, this third wave should be much weaker than the second that hit us this summer. Although we will enter the purple zone during it, from more than 50 infected to 100,000, lower values are expected.
This summer, we had days with more than 80 patients per 100,000 and now the maximum value should go up to 65 per 100,000. That spike itself will last less than strike two, so we’d stay in the purple zone for about 20 days.
– My five-member team of mathematicians and programmers monitors the situation in all 216 countries on a daily basis. We use the Gauss curve (a mathematical model based on the work of the famous German mathematician and physicist Johann Karl Friedrich Gauss) that moves daily. The methodology is unique and based on multiple waves, Kočović explained previously for “Blic.”
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