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“There is an epidemiological emergency situation in Belgrade, because every day, for more than a week, there are around 1,200 people infected with the corona virus,” says epidemiologist Predrag Kon, adding that at the end of the week it will be seen if this is the maximum or the number of new infections will increase. .
He emphasized for Tanjug that the number of newly infected people is also growing in Novi Sad, Kragujevac, Kraljevo and explains that the epidemiological situation in the capital is extraordinary, because one in every 1,000 inhabitants is actively sick.
– We will monitor the situation. In Belgium and Bulgaria, it seems that it has reached the top and has started to weaken. However, the number of infected people continues to grow in other countries. Now we are in the sixth week since the start of the increase, the curve should flatten soon, Kon said.
The fact that Belgrade hospitals are filling up rapidly, as he says, is the most reliable indicator that the intensity of virus activity is high. Explain that there are a large number of infected people who are not registered, because they do not have any symptoms.
– A critical situation arises when there are not enough places in the hospitals and when it is necessary to react in different ways, creating temporary supplementary hospitals. However, this raises the question of equipment, personnel and conditions for treating patients – said Kon.
Population surveys, which were conducted in Western European countries (how many people have antibodies because they exceeded the crown), indicated that the number of infected people is 10 to 20 times higher than the number that is officially registered.
– By such analogy, if you have an average of 1,000 infected people a day, then you have between 10,000 and 20,000 people a day who are contagious, without even knowing it. It must be said that little by little they stop being contagious after a week to ten days, after 14 days, of course, so that number cannot simply be added – he explained.
When asked if all contacts should be tested to prevent spread, he said there was a discussion about it, that the WHO recommends that testing be done constantly, but Kon believes that testing serves no purpose unless it is resolve the isolation of all infected people. and how it will be controlled.
– In Slovakia, 3.6 million people were tested and are 1 percent infected. The same would be found in Belgrade if we did massive testing now. Therefore, everyone, regardless of whether it has been tested or not, has nothing to look for on their computer, they have no right to spread the infection, regardless of whether or not they have proven that it is a covid – said Kon.
He points out that the ideal would be to test all contacts and states that perhaps Serbia will get into that situation, because the number of rapid antigen tests increases, then the number of laboratories that perform tests, and private laboratories are included.
– The participation of private laboratories raises additional problems in terms of supervision. They must be included in the supervision and it must be known how many positives there are out of the number that were tested with them. These are all problems that need to be solved on the fly. It would be better if they were resolved faster – he said.
When asked if that means that the official data that is reported daily does not include those that are tested in private laboratories, Kon said that, as far as he knows, it does not.
– It is good that a large number of people who have milder problems and want to be tested have the opportunity to do it in private laboratories. Everyone who tests positive must report to the Kovid clinic and join the system. In addition, the laboratories conducting such research should report it – he said.
He adds that the system must continue to develop, and in this case it will have to be done “quickly and efficiently”.
When asked who controls and if the measure of self-isolation and home quarantine is respected, for those who are positive for the coronavirus and do not present symptoms or have a milder clinical picture, he said that a health inspection is working, but that supervision in that segment is not appropriate.
He hopes that the amendments to the Law for the Protection of the Population against Infectious Diseases will provide a legal framework for better control.
– It is not only the control of restaurants, cafes, clubs, but the implementation of home isolation and home quarantine must also be controlled. It only worked during the state of emergency. I hope the control is better with the amendments to the Law – said Kon.
He explains that the sanitary inspection issues self-isolation decisions and sends them by mail, that sometimes a week passes before the solution arrives and that there is no supervision during that time.
– During the state of emergency, the police controlled whether the self-isolation measure was respected. A tighter organization and how it will be done in the future will have to be provided by the competent services. It is important that they have a legal framework in which they can do that – he emphasized.
Kon says that it should have been done earlier, but that up to now they have been consistently convinced that the law is good and that everything can be implemented on the basis of it.
– Whenever there was a need to control or sanction, it was clear that the law was very porous. These changes were necessary and are currently the most important to improve control, but also to sanction those who do not adhere to the measures – he said.
Commenting on the threats and curses that were sent to him through a video shared on social media, Kon said that “the joy was exaggerated”, but that all anger and frustration must be directed against the virus.
– We cannot act without the virus and not think about it. It must reach the consciousness of these ‘cheerleaders’ as well, because they don’t think about it. You can also hit them on the head, especially those closest to you. My message is: wear masks and we take care of everyone equally ”, he concluded.
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