Professor Kočović gave new calculations, the problem is in just one day

Petar Kocovic, Photo: Printscreen

Serbia is still in the dark gray zone when it comes to on the number of infected in the last 14 days per 100,000 inhabitants. The criterion for the dark gray area is 1,000 to 3,000 infected per 100,000 inhabitants in the last two weeks.

We finished last year in that area, and we also enter 2021.

In recent days, the number of new infected with the coronavirus https://objektiv.rs/korona-virus/ has been decreasing, epidemiological measures are giving results, but the consequences of prior non-compliance with them are still visible.

This was also announced on his Facebook profile by prof. Petar Kočović, an IT expert who, together with his team, has been forecasting the epidemic for months, based on a calculation based on the Gaussian curve.

In other words, on December 31, it published for the first time a graph of the number of infected in the last 14 days per 100,000 inhabitants, noting that “instead of 3.1. the end of the dark gray zone has been moved to 5.1.2021. The number of patients that occurred December 18-21, 2020 is 830 higher than the number estimated at that time. “

Therefore, the consequences of non-compliance with the measures and the increase in the number of infected in the period from 18 to 21.12. it is an “extended stay” in the dark gray zone until January 5.

However, this not all.

Yesterday, Professor Kočović republished the schedule, which was drawn up on the same principle, and shows the number of infected in the last 14 days per 100,000 inhabitants, and he had no good news when it comes to the dark gray area .

“Unexpectedly, we will stay in this area one more day. This is a consequence of the increase in infection in the period from December 11 to 22, 2020,” wrote the professor in the latest calculations.

This means that instead of January 5, according to the latest calculations, we will leave the dark gray area in the sixth.

In the last 24 hours, 7,276 people were tested for the corona virus in Serbia, while 1,907 of them tested positive. It remains to be seen a smaller number of those tested, less infected, either as a result of the holidays or better days really approaching.