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Belgrade: Epidemiologist Predrag Kon expects a further increase in the number of people infected with the coronavirus, this week and next, and only after that can the curve be flattened.
Source: Tanjug
Printskrin: TV B92
He said that there had been an exponential increase in the number of victims in Belgrade and that the accelerated filling of hospitals had started and that the most important thing was to stop it now. He believes that a measure should be introduced prohibiting contact.
“We have to understand that the measures that were made mandatory should really be implemented, there should be no more passengers on the buses who do not wear masks, there should be no people inside who do not wear masks. I personally believe that the wearing of masks should be mandatory. and in the outside environment, “Kon told Tanjug.
He emphasizes that the mask is the best protection against the coronavirus until the vaccine arrives and that it can replace more drastic measures such as movement restriction and police ace at this time.
When asked if he was considering introducing these measures, Kon said that if the number of people infected with the coronavirus continued to grow exponentially, he could not “sit with his arms crossed” and that he “had to think about it.”
“Regardless of the fact that this is not an option at the moment, it must be considered and it must be marked very clearly what would be the moment when it should be introduced (police ace and movement restriction),” he said.
When asked what additional measures could be taken now, Conn said it could be a contact ban.
“I said the contact ban a long time ago and all that means that the contact ban is a measure. When should it be taken? Thu. It must be taken immediately,” he said.
He points out that there are more and more patients in the hospital, that those who care for those patients know better, and that, unfortunately, more and more cases are arriving.
He notes that the onset of the third peak began on October 4, when a gradual increase in the number of patients was noted in Belgrade.
“We are now finishing the fourth week and next week we will have a further increase in the number of employees. How it will continue depends on our behavior. Weekends are especially problematic, because we have the impression that there are more and more meetings in the afternoon And at night in cafes, they came with surveillance to entertainment venues, “Conn said.
He states that today the number of infected consequences of behavior increases from seven to ten days ago, and that the consequences of current behavior will be visible in ten days.
“If everyone sticks to the prescribed measures, the curve can even out by the end of next week,” he said.
Kon understands the resistance of citizens to any restriction on movement restrictions, but does not understand the resistance to wearing masks.
He points out that yesterday there were 590 new infected people in Belgrade and points out that this number should be multiplied by ten because the number of infected people is increasing daily.
So it is clear that we are saying that contacts should be avoided. It is unacceptable and irresponsible to organize large entertainment gatherings in secret. Everyone who is infected at such a celebration and possibly has a current form of the disease has the right to sue the organizer. there is a crooked responsibility. However, not enough is said about that ”, he stressed.
When asked how long the third wave could last, learned from the experience of the first two, Kon emphasized that we meet the coronavirus for the first time in the autumn-winter season and that it can be discussed at the evaluation level.
“How long it will last can only be estimated based on experience with respiratory viruses, mainly influenza. This disease has an incubation period twice as long as influenza, and with the measures we take to stop the virus, it means that it will last more. It is estimated that it will last about 16 weeks, and now we are in the fourth week, which means 12 full weeks. We have to distance ourselves that all this is only estimates, “he concluded.
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