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The epidemiological situation in Serbia is very serious, as it is serious in many European countries, says the director of the WHO Office in Serbia, Marijan Ivanuša.
Source: Tanjug
Screenshot / TV first
It adds that Serbia belongs to the group of the 15 most affected countries in Europe in terms of the number of new cases in the last seven days.
“This means that the situation is very serious and that it is deteriorating relatively fast. We can expect Serbia to achieve new daily records in the number of patients,” Ivanusa told Tanjug, adding that a great deterioration can be expected in terms of the number. of deaths in the coming years. a few weeks
He says he expected the epidemiological situation to calm down in mid-December, but that with such a large number of new infections, it would take longer.
“If the number of patients is high, then it takes longer to calm the situation. We must know that if we have 5,000 new infected people per day and if 20 percent of them end up in hospitals and stay in hospital for ten days, that it means 10,000 hospital beds are needed for covid patients. ” “If a quarter end up in intensive care, that means 2,500 beds are needed in intensive care,” Ivanuša said.
If you factor in the death rate of just one percent, as he said, that means 50 people will die a day.
“These are all numbers that will catch up to us. We can expect a great deterioration in terms of the number of deaths in the coming weeks,” he said.
Asked if the measures taken are sufficient and when the first effects can be expected, Ivanusa said that it takes at least a week to see the first results of certain measures, but that it takes several weeks for a more concrete improvement of the situation.
He states that many measures are in force in Serbia and that they give certain results, and that without them today we would have more than 10,000 patients daily.
“Those measures that are in force give certain results, but as the situation is still getting worse, it is a sign that they are not enough. If everyone adhered to the measures, kept physical distance, wore masks, disinfected hands, if all patients were put in isolation, if contacts were quarantined, then the measures would be more than enough, “he said.
He notes that people do not understand the seriousness of the situation until it dramatically worsens, and that this is one of the reasons why some countries have reached the point of “stopping life” again.
“We all avoid a complete stop, that is not a WHO recommendation, unless it is necessary,” Ivanusa said.
When asked when the coronavirus vaccine can be expected and when it will be available to citizens of Serbia, Ivanuša said that the first doses of the vaccine could be available by the end of the year.
Now the question is which countries will provide the first doses. We know that demand is extremely high globally. Every dose of the vaccine that will arrive in Serbia, be it in December, January, February, March, will be very important. The first dose should be used. for the protection of those most threatened, which are health workers, because they take care of our health, ”he emphasized.
He points out that we will need more patience for mass vaccination, and more vaccinations can be expected in the middle of next year.
“Until we have herd immunity, which is acquired through vaccination, public health measures are important to us,” he concluded.
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