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According to previous calculations and forecasts by Professor Petar Kočović, we have seen that Serbia is already in the third wave of the corona virus. Now his latest calculations show that the rise of the third wave awaits us in the coming days when it comes to the number of new patients and the danger of entering the red zone very soon.
– After the number of infected since October 7, Serbia has left the green zone, with 15 infected per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days. In the next nine days, including October 7, this number will double, so we will go from yellow to red. This practically means that the figure of 250 infected daily will be a reality. We have a few days to prepare to fully respect all personal protection measures – says prof “Blic”. Kocovic.
Yes, this, which was presented by prof. Kocovic makes sense, the numbers and the daily crown sections we follow speak for themselves. As we have been recording the three-digit number of newly infected for a few days, it is not ruled out that there will be an increase in the number of patients in the coming days.
According to the latest graphic presentation by prof. Kocovic, the rise of the first wave was from April 3 to 6, the second from June 22 to 29, while the rise of the third is expected from October 7 to 15, and the probability of this happening is higher at 84 percent.
If we look at the number of infected per 100,000 inhabitants in the graph, we see that during the first and second waves, that figure was slightly above 25, while according to projections, in the next few days, the third wave will reach 30 infected per 100,000 inhabitants.
The worrying thing is that after the announced nine days of the rise of the third wave, as the professor revealed in the comments, we are entering the red zone! Which means that we will have more than 30 new cases for every 100,000 inhabitants.
– I think we still learned something from the two previous waves, and that is to be careful, it can lead to a milder infection than in the second wave. But, let’s hope – emphasized the professor.
Kocovic’s team has previously presented a graph of the projected movement of the coronavirus epidemic in Serbia by the end of the year, according to which the biggest hit would come in the first days of November, with more than 60 infected per 100,000 inhabitants.
– My five-member team of mathematicians and programmers monitors the situation in all 216 countries on a daily basis. We use the Gauss curve (a mathematical model based on the work of the famous German mathematician and physicist Johann Karl Friedrich Gauss) that moves daily. The methodology is unique and based on multiple waves, Kočović explained previously for “Blic.”
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