Hospitals will be full before April 5! He also revealed when he expects the number of new infections to decrease.



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PROFESSOR KOČOVIĆ HAS A CONCERNING FORECAST: Hospitals will be full by April 5!  He also revealed when he expects the number of new infections to decrease.

Photo: Printscreen / RTV Pink

In recent days, Serbia has re-registered a large number of crowns recently infected with the virus, the numbers are increasing and the profession increasingly demands tougher measures. What interests most people is when the crown numbers will start to fall, and Professor Petar Kočović has the answer to this question.

– This sub-wave will be smoother, but will last longer. This practically means that ambulances and hospitals will fill up around April 5, and then the number of discharges will be higher, Professor Kočović wrote on Facebook.

Professor Kočović, an information technology expert, together with his team, has been forecasting the epidemic for months, based on a calculation based on the Gaussian curve.

So now, based on the budget, he gave a forecast of when we can expect the crown numbers to fall.

– According to estimates, the growth is another 7-8 days. Then they would fall slightly. This is given in this graph. The vertical curve is today. You can see the bottom line, blue … But, it all depends on the movement of the infection on a daily basis in the next few days – wrote the professor.

So, depending on the budget and the charts, Professor Kočović believes that in seven to eight days we could expect fewer new infections. However, it all depends on respecting epidemiological measures.

Let us remind you that Serbia is still in the dark gray zone with 500 to 1,000 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants over a period of 14 days.

Stronger measures to follow?

By the way, Prime Minister Ana Brnabić said that today she would have a meeting with the medical part of the Crisis Staff and pointed out that measures against the coronavirus will have to be toughened.

“We will certainly have to tighten the measures, but we will see what is possible to do and what is the smartest thing to do,” said Brnabić.

(Kurir.rs)


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