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With the arrival of winter, the risk of infection increases. Two scenarios await us in November, the first is to respect the measures and keep the situation under control, the second is the opposite. A corona is bursting around us in the region, which is why we are considering introducing a PCR test upon entering the country.
It all depends on ourselves, on how we behave as individuals, but also as a community, so we will go through this third wave, he says in an interview for the “Blic” prof. Dr. Branislav Tiodorović, epidemiologist and member of the crisis staff for the control of the Covid-19 infection.
The crown burns in the region, how are we taking it?
– A good part of the population respects the measures and we must congratulate them because thanks to disciplined and responsible people we are the best in Europe. Instead, the smallest percentage that does not respect the measures, these people should imagine. This refers to certain organizers of musical events, social gatherings, places where people gather without respecting the measures. Let’s be clear, I’m still in favor of holding cultural events, for example, why close the theater? I will cite Nis as an example, when we get a slight increase in newly infected people from the “Jura” factory. In that way and in that direction, one must think and act, therefore, where the problem is, there is also a reaction. A very serious situation is happening around us. The reason why the crown is burning somewhere, for example, Croatia and Slovenia, during the summer months they had a large tourist influx from European countries, they had a significant reduction in measures, and those measures that were relaxed are now returning with the guild.
What measures will we introduce at the borders, is it being considered?
– It is considering introducing PCR for everyone who enters the country or a test that shows the presence of antibodies, that is, that a person who enters our country has had a crown. Yes, we will have a problem with our people living in Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Macedonia, but we cannot introduce a measure for some and not for others. Why it is important that the measures apply to everyone, I will illustrate with the example of Vranje, now they have a slight increase in new infections, but as all obstacles to Macedonia are removed, they go there, trade, go tourism, and then the number increases after returning to the country. I think we should think in that direction and act directly on the problem, because everyone can find out why something is happening, so it is necessary to introduce a stronger control.
What awaits us in the next month in regards to the epidemiological situation?
– November and December arrive, they are cold months, and the highest humidity corresponds to the virus, and we will surely have an increase in the number of infected. Now it is very important to use this period to maintain the trend with fewer infected people. We have two scenarios in the next month. The first is that if we stick to the measurements, we can expect that number to be double digits, so okay, even when it becomes triple digits like now, it’s not that drastic, it’s just important to keep the situation under control, and that’s just it can be done respecting the measurements. Now we have younger and more resistant people among the newly infected, a small number of them go to the hospital because most of them tolerate the virus well and are not for hospitalization. It’s good. However, young people can transmit the virus to the elderly even if they have a mild or asymptomatic clinical picture. Then we will surely have an increase in November, because people will stay at home, but it would certainly be a controlled situation, control evil, be as low as possible if there were no spikes. The second scenario would be unfavorable, and that is that we cannot ensure that the measures are respected, that we have a jump, and there are certainly conditions for this because everything around us is on fire and the transition is taking place in the country itself. So if we relax then I really don’t know what to expect. Nothing is difficult or complicated, just respect the measures that we repeat for months, wear masks indoors, keep a distance of one and a half meters, maintain hygiene, and most importantly, in this period of fight against the virus, forget about celebrations, celebrations, gatherings.
Up to 30 people are allowed inside. What is allowed and what is not?
– Do not let them be musical demonstrations, congresses, symposia, I know everything necessary, but it is not necessary at this time. Avoid everything you can avoid. Make it a work meeting, something that is necessary, but with respect to the measures. We need to think about our health, about the health of our loved ones. Responsibility and discipline is something that we need in the coming months, and I believe that each person has the desire to contribute with their behavior to make our country a winner in this fight.
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