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Epidemiologist Predrag Kon stated, as a guest on the NewsMax Adria Day Review, that according to his research, based on data from the City’s Institute of Public Health, from March to June, there were three times more deaths than the system collected and announced officially. that is, what is reported in writing. He also claims that there was a problem in the information system. “Now I can say that the data is very approximate and very accurate.”
The weekly NIN reported that in July, when Serbia was facing a new coronavirus attack, at least 100,000 fewer tests were carried out than official data showed. When it comes to the sick, that number has dropped, they said.
“You have to understand, there is something that applies during the event itself. We are using an information system for the first time. That information system at one point, in a period, was not accurate enough and I cannot say why, So somewhere in the middle When looking at everything that happened, it became clear that there was a difference between what we, at the Belgrade level, found as cases and, in particular, deaths. Deaths cannot be accurately stated unless a certain period has passed. Only in two months will the data entered in the death certificate be returned … Now the data for June will arrive. I processed the data until June. By June, anyway, there were three times more deaths than the system that is reported in writing. It happens all the time … “
Kon said the problem was a computer program. “We have never worked according to that system, until now there has never been such a supervision system, we have something else that works regularly, but now it is impossible for it to work because now it is massive and we have to adapt.”
He says that in this case, an information system was developed without which epidemiologists could not work, emphasizing that initially there were no covid clinics and that they could not work on data collection -especially because that data did not arrive ”and reports infectious diseases-. they didn’t come at all. “
Kon says that in his research he used mortality statistics and DN2 patterns, and data from the City Institute of Public Health. The death certificate has three parts: the immediate, basic and indirect cause of death, he said, adding that they arrive after two months.
What is published directly, what is in the information system, that is one thing, and the extract of data from the written system is another, he adds.
Kon says that the data arrives at the City Office after two days, and that based on what followed, the current data that can now be viewed on the covid.rs site is very approximate and that, as far as to Belgrade, “fits into this.” “.” Now I can say that the data is very approximate and very accurate. Whether a case comes up or not, we’ll get to that later. “
He states that in his investigation, from March to June, he found 210 deaths that were written on the death certificate as the immediate or main cause of death for kovid 19, and that 118 of those cases were officially notified. “In addition, I found 29 deaths in that same period from viral pneumonia and I found an excess of deaths from unmarked pneumonia, therefore not bacterial, 102 cases were redundant, but we cannot say that 102 were from kovid, but a significant number did did”. , he stated.
Kon says that when “total mortality is controlled from year to year, the average before 2020 is compared, and there are 345 people in excess mortality throughout the period.”
Just so you know, it happens in all epidemics, he added.
We could not have connections with the information system, they bring us the data, he said.
Of schools and the eternal derby
He does not believe that the Crisis Staff is going to support enabling the public in the eternal derby and that he hopes that everyone at Headquarters is against it. It would be a bad step, he added.
He says that the virus not only circulates in our country, but also enters from outside.
Only in one school has it been proven that the transmission occurred in the school, and that the rest was brought in from outside, and that it is important that these cases are discovered and isolated, Kon said.
There is enough evidence and that is not a problem, the problem is that there are more acute respiratory infections at this time of year and we do not have enough people to do so much, Kon replied, specifying that the journalist Dusan Cavic explained what it is like. in her case, apparently her son was not sent for the test, after the doctor heard him.
The system is designed for all children who have problems to go into isolation, and this is a tip for parents: every child who has a fever, cough and if he says he has no taste or smell, should be treated as possibly infected, the child should be taken with a halt. temperature at the kovid clinic, “they have many ways of deciding there,” he said.
He stated that the system works, that it should only be respected.
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