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AUTHOR:
DATE AND TIME:
17.10.2020. 12:52
Weather forecast, Photo: Alo.rs/ Illustration
The meteorologist Marko Cubrilo brings us the weather forecast for the next period.
On Saturday, dry but relatively cold air will flow towards us from the northwest, and a changeable and sometimes mostly cloudy weather will prevail, with possible less frequent showers or showers, most often over central parts of Bosnia and Herzegovina and the southeast from Serbia. Weak to moderate wind, and in the extreme north of the region occasionally stronger, from the northwest. The daily maximum is usually 6 to 11 degrees Celsius, which is below average.
Sunday is also quite cold, but with a little more sunshine, those highs should be a bit higher, generally moving in the 8-14 degree Celsius range, and the northwest wind would weaken.
A mostly clear night on Monday with a light wind will allow a strong cooling of the soil air layer, and on Monday morning in most of the region, the minimum would be -1 to 3 degrees Celsius. Above the largest cities around 5, and in the open space in the mountain valleys down to -4 degrees Celsius in some places.
From Sunday morning very cool, sometimes with light frosts, while the daily maximum will gradually increase and by Tuesday will be around 18 degrees Celsius, and in the second part of next week the maximum in some places will be very high 23 degrees centigrade. Light wind, around Friday in some places and moderate, south and southwest.
On those days, the weather above us will be under the influence of an anticlon, through which hot air will flow into a strong cyclone over Western Europe.
After October 24, the weather is likely to change, but gradually and the models still don’t have a coherent solution for that period. Calculations occasionally point to very strong cyclonic activity in the wider Icelandic environment, which is a typical North Atlantic positive oscillation situation, but also some calculations (such as the afternoon GFS and ECMWF budget) simulate a strong anticyclone, that would suppress cyclonic activity on the southern path to the Mediterranean, and such synoptics are typical of the North Atlantic Negative Oscillation.
For now, around October 25, there are signs of possible deterioration and moderate cooling.
So the weekend ahead is mostly dry, but quite cold, and since Sunday it has been much hotter with all the characteristics of Miholj’s summer.
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