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The coronavirus could kill between 3,000 and 4,000 people in Serbia by the end of the epidemic, according to estimates that cross data on infection and death trends.
British scientists have developed this prediction model using data from their country, however, since data on corona mortality coincide in almost all countries except those with the least developed health systems, it is not difficult to extend this estimate to Serbia.
According to English researchers, the total death rate from the covid-19 virus does not exceed 0.1 percent (which would mean that every thousand infected people die). It varies somewhat, but not significantly, from country to country, and is drastically different depending on the age of those infected. However, the figure ultimately drops to an average of less than 0.1 percent.
Translated for example from Serbia, until a massive vaccine or the development of herd immunity, as in Great Britain, up to 60 percent of the population could be infected by the end of the epidemic. That is about four million people. And 0.1 percent of that number is 4,000. Taking into account that the crown has already claimed 901 lives, counting from today, November 9, until the end of the epidemic, three and a half to four times more patients could die as a result of this infection.
(Kurir.rs/Srpski telegraf)
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