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Comparing stats and physical attributes in a fight is not an exact science. A fighter can take advantage of the sum of his characteristics and, even so, the difference in a specific area is so great that he is capable of unbalancing the entire account. This is the impression you get when you watch the duel between Israel Adesanya and Paulo Borrachinha, the main event of UFC 253, in X-ray combat.
In sum of the factors, the difference in Adesanya’s physical attributes (height, span, and leg size) ends up giving her a 7 to 3 advantage in the sum. However, the points where Borrachinha is superior have a big difference in her favor and mark a style that may be the key to her victory.
Adesanya is 8 cm taller, 13 cm longer than the legs, and 21 cm longer. This would be a very difficult distance to overcome for any striker. However, Borrachinha is a pressure fighter, who fights point blank, and this is very clear in his standing numbers: he has an incredible volume of punches, 8.43 connected per minute, more than double that of Adesanya (3, 96). Surprisingly, despite playing a lot of shots, he is also very accurate, with 57.8% correct answers, while the Nigerian, considered an Anderson Silva-style surgical striker, reaches only 48.7%.
Adesanya’s defense is 65.5% and he suffers only 2.40 strokes per minute, but this ability to dodge and block will be pushed to the limit against a fighter like Borrachinha who squeezes very close and hits so hard. Since none of them have sought the fight so far in their UFC careers, the numbers in this area say little about their abilities. Despite being a white belt in jiu-jitsu, the champion has better fall defense and spike numbers, but the logic is that the Brazilian, a black belt, takes advantage of this area.
The main co-fight has the light heavyweight belt dispute and brings a very balanced showdown. The statistical comparison brings a slight advantage of Jan Blachowicz by 7 to 5 against Dominick Reyes. The American is taller, but Blachowicz has bigger arms and legs (and the kick is one of his best weapons).
– Photo: Editoria de Arte
Reyes has more drops, more volume, and greater precision on foot shots, but Blachowicz defends blows better and absorbs fewer blows per minute. The struggle favors the Pole, who is much more accurate on knockdowns (52% vs. 16.7%), with a better drop rate per fight and submissions. But the American has a good defense against falls (82.4%).
THE Combat Broadcasts the event live from 7:30 pm (Brasilia time), with “Combat Warming”. The preliminary card, which begins at 8:00 p.m., has a narration by André Azevedo and comments by Luciano Andrade. The main card, at 11pm, stars Rhoodes Lima, with comments from Ana Hissa. THE SporTV 3 is he Combate.com It will broadcast “Warm-up” and the first two fights. The site tracks the entire event in real time.
UFC 253
September 26, 2020, at Fight Island, Abu Dhabi
MAIN CARD (23:00 GMT):
Middleweight: Israel Adesanya vs Paulo Borrachinha
Heavyweight: Dominick Reyes vs. Jan Blachowicz
Flyweight: Kai Kara-France x Brandon Royval
Bantamweight: Ketlen Vieira vs Sijara Eubanks
Weight-penalty: Hakeem Dawodu x Zubaira Tukhugov
PRELIMINARY CARD (8:00 pm EST):
Lightweight: Brad Riddell vs. Alex Leko
Middleweight: Diego Sánchez vs. Jake Matthews
Weight-penalty: Shane Young x Ludovit Klein
Heavyweight: William Knight vs. Aleksa Camur
Heavyweight: Juan Espino x Jeff Hughes
Heavyweight: Khadis Ibragimov vs. Danilo Marques
UFC 253: Two Belt Contests Live in Combat!
