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In an election marked by a pandemic of historic proportions and drawing two candidates with diametrically opposed political views, Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden square off on Tuesday in the first of three presidential debates ahead of the US elections. November. With an expected audience of 100 million people, topics such as the recent revelation of Trump’s mechanisms to avoid the payment of federal taxes, the succession in the Supreme Court, the effects of Covid-19 and the protests against racism in the country.
While polls show that debates are not the most effective way to change voters’ votes, incorrect statements or signs of insecurity can doom a campaign. And this is pointed out as a weak point by Joe Biden: in 2018, he defined himself as a “blunder machine”, and there have been many errors since the announcement of his candidacy.
Drug testing
This apparent weakness has been exploited by Trump, 74, who questioned the mental health of the 77-year-old Democrat. Last week, he suggested that Biden used drugs to enhance his performance, suggesting a drug test before the debate.
Although Trump defends these attacks as a valid strategy, which could be successful if Biden makes a mistake, analysts and even activists view it with reservations.
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Led by Chris Wallace of Fox News, the debate will be divided into six segments: “The Trump and Biden Story”; “Supreme Court”; “COVID-19”; “The economy”; “Race and violence in cities”; and “The integrity of the election.”
Unlike 2016, when he was the “non-political” candidate, Trump now has a four-year legacy at the helm of the White House. Based on the actions of his government in the pandemic that killed 200,000 Americans, Biden seeks to put himself as a leader capable of facing the effects of Covid-19, pointing to the denial and lack of compassion towards the victims of the president.
In this sense, the Republican must evoke the state of the economy before the pandemic, which, in his opinion, gives him the right to command the resumption.
“For Trump, part of the mission is to make sure that all of the center-right voters who voted for him in 2016, mostly Republicans, have a reason to stick with him. And the best arena to fight this fight is the economy, “Scott Jennings, former special adviser to President George W. Bush, told CNN.
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Trump must maintain the aggressive tone of 2016, something that will be seen in the first movements: he will consider the business of Biden’s son, Hunter, in the Ukrainian energy sector, one of the central points of the impeachment process against the Republican, as well such as allegations of sexual harassment against the Democrat.
Another point is the attempt to link Biden to acts of violence in protests against racism in the US By presenting him as a representative of the “radical left”, Trump tries to attract the centrist, even if the claim is a lie. .
“What makes a debate with the president so difficult is that he does things through labels. It does not use long and reasoned arguments. He just applies a label to you to make a statement, ”Brett O’Donnell told CNN this time.
Trump, as he has already done, has yet to question the electoral process itself, especially voting by mail. The sport is seen as potentially beneficial to Democrats, and the Republican has even suggested that voters vote remotely to go to the polls as well, which is illegal.
To his credit, Joe Biden intends to use political experience and his own life story: The Democrat faced two personal tragedies, the death of his first wife and daughter in a car accident in the 1970s, and more recently , of his son Beau.
Supreme and taxes
The Democrat intends to challenge the rush to nominate conservative Justice Amy Coney Barrett for the Supreme Court vacancy with the death of Ruth Ginsburg – in the 2016 election year, when a court seat wandered, the Republican majority in the Senate He prevented Democrat Barack Obama from filling it, claiming that the task would depend on the president who would be elected.
Biden has yet to explore the Republican’s business activities, two days after the tax returns Trump kept secret came to light. According to documents published by the New York Times on Sunday, the president took advantage of tax loopholes to avoid paying federal income tax in 10 of the 15 years before his election. In 2016 and 2017, he paid only US $ 750 (R $ 4,100). Trump initially called the disclosures “fake news,” but later claimed he was entitled to deductions, “like everyone else.”
Biden, who posted videos on Monday showing workers pay more IR than rivals, must exploit the fact that the occupant of the White House has pushed for a tax reform that has further lowered corporate and wealthier taxes.
