Ministry changes forecast and expects peak “between May and July”



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The secretary of health surveillance of the Ministry of Health, Wanderson de Oliveira, said that No information is available yet to indicate when the spike will actually occur of cases of contamination and deaths from covid-19 in the five states most affected by the disease in the country: São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Ceará, Pernambuco and Amazonas.

Oliveira said the case growth curve indicates that the behavior of the virus has varied between states.

Oliveira said the case growth curve indicates that the behavior of the virus has varied between states.

Photo: Wallace Martins / Futura Press

Questioned by the issue, Oliveira said that the growth curve of the case indicates that the behavior of the virus has varied between these states and that the only information that can guarantee today is that the most critical period of the disease will be known between May, June and July.

“When we evaluate the number of deaths, it is a conclusion two, three weeks ago. The situation in Amazonas, Ceará and Pernambuco follows a very similar pattern of respiratory diseases in these regions,” said Oliveira. São Paulo and Rio already have more different patterns. I can’t say when the peak of the pandemic would be, “he said.

Until March, the Health Ministry said the country should prepare for a spike in the disease between late April and early May. The fact is that this period has come and cases and deaths are on the rise. States like Maranhão and Pará, which are not among the five most affected, are currently in the process of closing. The most affected states are expanding their measures to restrict the movement of people.

“It is not yet possible to say when the peak of the crisis will come. Social isolation reduces the curve of cases. We still do not know on what exact date it will occur. What I can say is that it will be between May, June and July, I have no doubts” . , said.

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