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Voting intention surveys indicate that Democratic candidate Joe Biden, Donald Trump’s opponent in the White House race, maintains a solid lead in Wisconsin, one of the key states in the electoral dispute. The management of the health crisis is seen as one of the factors that weighs the most in the final decision of voters.
- See which states can define American elections
According to a survey conducted by the Ipsos Institute for the Reuters agency between October 20 and 26 and published on Monday (26), Biden has 53% of voting intentions, against 44% of Donald Trump. The registered advantage is two percentage points compared to the previous survey. The difference is that, now, a third of those interviewed have already voted.
With Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona and Florida, Wisconsin it is one of the states that can define the US presidential election that takes place in a week. However, this small state in the north of the country has an unpredictable profile: today, the region is reduced to large cities with a democratic majority, surrounded by rural areas with a republican tendency.
With its ten votes at the polling station, Wisconsin has been electing Democrats since 1984. But in 2016 its voters helped Trump win the White House, just one point ahead of Hillary Clinton.
How Presidential Elections Work In The United States
According to experts, the issue of health will be fundamental in this election. The state is one of the most affected by the Covid-19 pandemic and crisis management could make a difference at the polls.
“Voters’ choice is based primarily on political affiliation and judgment of the four-year period. But a third, more important factor is the public’s sentiment about the coronavirus and Donald Trump’s handling of the health crisis, ”explains Charles Franklin, professor of law and public policy at Marquette University in Milwaukee, the city. largest in Wisconsin.
Covid cares more than Black Lives Matter
Local dairy farmers are suffering from Trump’s trade disputes and residents have not yet forgotten the demonstrations following the death of African American Jacob Blake in the city of Kenosha. However, “when determining voters’ options, economic considerations, or demonstrations such as the Black Lives Matter movement, which occurred here, are not half as important as the presidential management of the pandemic“Says Franklin, who also runs an independent research institute.
“We found that voters are more concerned about the virus as the number of new cases has been on the rise over the past 45 days. After managing to keep the number of patients relatively low, it quadrupled. And the deaths have tripled ”, recalls the professor.
