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In the midst of a possible second wave of covid-19 in the city of São Paulo, the city has released inaccurate data on the ICU (Intensive Care Unit) beds available for occupation and those already occupied in the capital. The total number of places has not been centralized and, even so, the management discourse focuses on the stability of occupations in the city.
Reports published in recent weeks showed an increase in hospitalizations in the city of São Paulo. First, it started with private hospitals, which was initially denied by the state government and later confirmed, and soon migrated to the public network. The Bruno Covas administration, which is contesting the second round of the elections, denies that the growth is worrying. The mayor has even listed these concerns as “fake news.”
Let’s face it without creating expectations that the problem has been solved and without creating any kind of fake news that there is a second wave that is hiding the city Bruno Covas during an interview with Roda Viva
Among the reasons why the management points to the increase in occupations are: reduction of social isolation, attendance at parties, bars and restaurants by classes A and B and residents of other municipalities seeking hospitals in the capital.
The municipal secretary of Health, Edson Aparecido, also attributes the increase in occupation in the private network to the decrease in the supply of these beds from the peak of the pandemic until then. According to him, in the public network, the situation is one of stability.
Private beds were 1,746. Today there are 975. They are down 50%. Due to low demand, they were readjusting to return to the hospital for elective surgery.
Edson Appeared in interview with UOL
But even with the supposed sense of stability, the city is opening another 200 new nursing beds, serving less serious cases, for Covid-19.
New ICU beds were also created in the hospitals of Brasilândia (188), Bela Vista (50), Guarapiranga (140), Parelheiros (206) and Sorocabana (6), according to a bulletin from the municipal secretariat.
OR Twitter It was sought to ascertain how many ICU beds the city has in total, counting municipal hospitals, beds contracted by the municipality in private hospitals, those of private hospitals and state hospitals located within the municipality. The information is not centralized. The Municipal Department of Health itself does not have data on total beds.
The daily bulletin issued by the city council only reports the data of ICU covid beds from municipal and contracted hospitals. Data on the private network was released at a press conference last week and state hospitals are to be surveyed one by one by DataSus from the Ministry of Health.
According to another bulletin sent by Secretary Edson Aparecido, the total number of covid beds in the private network (including infirmary and ICU) is 3,533, with an occupancy of 66%. In the state, that number is 1,341, with a rate of 69% through Wednesday (25).
According to the secretary, this increase in the private network is due to the demand of non-residents in the municipality. However, according to data collected by the city, hospitalized non-residents currently account for 20% of hospitalizations. It is the highest percentage recorded per month since the beginning of the pandemic, with the exception of the month that has not yet ended.
As of November 17, 2,899 people were interned in the private network in São Paulo. Of these, 2,320 were residents and 579 were non-city residents. When asked if the percentage was not low to be the cause of such expressive occupation, the secretary did not respond.
The City Council denies the second wave
Following the municipal elections – and the current mayor Bruno Covas’ campaign for re-election – the São Paulo City Council denies the existence of a second wave – or resumption of the first wave – of covid-19 in the city.
There is no evidence in the public data of any second wave, it is more news produced on the eve of the elections to scare people, as if here we had some particular pleasure in relation to the quarantine.
Bruno Covas in an interview with UOL.
Covas supports the argument of his secretary and says that most of these new hospitalizations are of people from outside the São Paulo capital, defined by him as “a welcoming city and a benchmark in health care.”
The São Paulo government decided to postpone the reclassification scheduled for November 16 of the SP Plan, the set of restrictive measures adopted to control the pandemic in the state. João Doria promised a new update for November 30, the day after the municipal elections, including with recommendations from his Contingency Center that the restrictions be made in advance.
The data shows that the average number of cases and deaths has grown in the city, the state and the country as a whole, on alert. The graph below shows small spikes in cases in November and an increase now similar to the months of September and October.
The moving average of cases and deaths is the best way to look at the growth of the pandemic in a region, according to experts. With it, the average of the last seven days of data is compared and compared with the same period of 14 days ago, at which time the disease may take time to manifest itself.
Covas questions UOL’s control over the decrease in deaths
During the last debate of the first round on TV Cultura, the current mayor of São Paulo, Bruno Covas, refuted the increase in cases and deaths of covid-19 in the city, saying that the average number of deaths has been falling in the capital “for some time 24 weeks “. .
The report verified the information and classified it as false, since it identified moments of recurrence in the average of deaths from May to date. The city questioned the check, calling it incorrect.
“OR Twitter made a mistake by putting a FALSE stamp on Mayor Bruno Covas’ statement about the city of São Paulo to be in the 24th consecutive week of reducing deaths. The city has the lowest death rate from covid-19 since March, with an average of 24.71 deaths per day (seven-day moving average). At the peak of the pandemic in the city, in May, there were a daily average of 119 deaths, “the secretary said in a note.
The analysis of the moving average of deaths, however, shows the peak hours and indicates that the city has accelerated since November 14 and only on November 27 the numbers fell again. In the last debates and interviews, the mayor chose to say that there is “stability” of the disease in the city, a term that UOL Confere also described as false.
