Datafolha Survey in Rio de Janeiro: Paes, 54%; Crivella, 21% | 2020 elections in Rio de Janeiro

• Eduardo Paes (DEM): 54%
• Crivella (Republicans): 21%
• None / blank / null: 22%
• Don’t know / No answer: 3%

According to the survey, the former mayor Paes extends the advantage over the current mayor among women (58% versus 17%); among those aged 60 and over (62% x 21%); among the most educated (60% x 15%); among those with a monthly family income greater than 10 minimum wages (70% x 10%); among public officials (65% x 11%); among Catholics (68% x 10%); and among PT supporters (72% x 11%).

Datafolha also notes that Paes receives greater support from the voters of Martha Rocha (PDT) and Benedita da Silva (PT), respectively third and fourth placed in the first round. Among those who declared their vote for Martha, 64% said they would vote for Paes and 10% for Crivella. Among Benedita voters, the proportion is 68% against 8% in favor of the former mayor.

The poll indicates that Crivella leads among evangelicals (46% x 29%).

• Eduardo Paes (DEM): 71%
• Crivella (Republicans): 29%

The percentage of valid votes for each candidate corresponds to the proportion of the candidate’s votes over the total votes, excluding white, invalid and undecided votes. A candidate is elected if he obtains 50% plus one of the valid votes in the official count.

• You are fully determined: 88%
• The vote can still change: 12%

Timing of the voting decision in the first round

• At least one month before the elections: 60%
• 15 days before: 9%
• 1 week before: 10%
• On the eve of the elections: 6%
• On Election Day: 13%
• Other answers: 2%

Reasons you did not vote in the first round

• Lack of interest in elections / candidates / had no candidate: 29%
• Health / was ill: 17%
• The polling place is too far: 10%
• Worked / worked on the day: 9%
• Pandemic / fear of the pandemic / attention to the pandemic: 9%
• Travel / out of town: 8%
• Lost Voter Registration / Suspended Title: 5%
• I was with Covid: 2%
• Optional voting by age: 2%
• Other reasons: 13%

The survey was commissioned by TV Globo and by the newspaper “Folha de S.Paulo”.

• Margin of error: 3 percentage points more or less
• Who was heard: 1,064 voters in the city of Rio de Janeiro
• When the survey was conducted: November 17-18
• Identification number in the Electoral Tribunal: RJ-00503/2020
• The confidence level used is 95%. This means that there is a 95% probability that the results reflect the current electoral moment, considering the margin of error.