The moving average of deaths from Covid-19 grows for the third consecutive day in Rio



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RIO – The state of Rio registered 43 deaths and 648 new cases of the new coronavirus in the last 24 hours, according to data released this Sunday 20 by the state government. In total, there are 17,677 victims and 251,909 infected by Covid-19 since the beginning of the pandemic in March. With the latest update, there is an increase for the third consecutive day in the moving average of deaths, which points to an increasing trend in the spread of the disease.

The moving average is now 98 deaths and 1,345 cases per day. There is a 30% increase in the average number of deaths compared to the previous two weeks, which, being above 15%, indicates a scenario of growth in the spread of the disease in Rio de Janeiro. The state last experienced this upswing scenario in late August.

The 7-day moving average averages the number of deaths during the day and the previous six. It is compared to an average of two weeks ago to indicate whether there is an uptrend, stability or a downtrend. The calculation is a statistical resource to be able to see the trend of the data, drowning out the “noise” caused on weekends, when the notification of deaths is reduced by the shortage of shift employees.

The data analysis was carried out from the survey of the press vehicle consortium formed by O GLOBO, Extra, G1, Folha de S.Paulo, UOL and O Estado de S. Paulo, which collects information from the health departments state.

The cities with the most deaths from Covid-19 in RJ are:

Rio de Janeiro – 10 495
São Gonçalo – 695
Duke of Caxias – 689
Nova Iguaçu – 569
São João de Meriti – 420
Niteroi – 413
Campos dos Goytacazes – 360
Belford Roxo – 283
Magé – 214
Itaboraí – 210

Distribution of cases by municipality consulted on September 20 at 5:15 pm Photo: Reproduction / Government of Rio
Distribution of cases by municipality consulted on September 20 at 5:15 pm Photo: Reproduction / Government of Rio

The municipalities with the highest accumulation of confirmed cases are:

Rio de Janeiro – 98,162
Niteroi – 12,395
São Gonçalo – 11,865
Duke of Caxias – 9,117
Belford Roxo – 9,090
Macaé – 8,053
Round Volta – 6,418
Nova Iguaçu – 6,198
Goytacazes fields – 5,422
Teresópolis – 5,407

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