[ad_1]
After 12 days of accelerating trend in the moving average of deaths, Brazil returned to the level of stability on Friday (27). There were 501 deaths in the last 24 hours, with an average of 477 in the last week. The data come from the consortium of press media from which Twitter It is part of.
In total, the country has already registered 171,998 deaths caused by the disease since the start of the pandemic. Goiás and Rondônia could not register data on the disease. The health departments of the two states spoke of difficulties in accessing the Ministry of Health system.
In a note, the Goiás Department of Health reported that municipalities “report system instability when completing notification forms.” The agency also said it “is investigating the reasons for this situation with the Ministry of Health.” The State Health Surveillance Agency (Agevisa), of Rondônia, said that “an instability in the server of the Ministry of Health (Datasus) is preventing the extraction of data.”
Earlier this month, some states also struggled to update their data with the ministry: cases in Amazonas, Amapá, São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, Santa Catarina, Roraima and Paraná.
There were 33,506 new cases of covid-19 across the country from yesterday to today. Since the beginning of the pandemic, 6,238,076 positive tests for the disease have been registered in Brazil.
Health data
The Ministry of Health announced today that Brazil registered 514 new deaths from covid-19 in the last 24 hours. Since the start of the pandemic, the country has had 171,974 deaths caused by the disease.
From yesterday to today, there were 34,130 positive diagnoses for the new coronavirus across the country. The total number of infected since the beginning of the pandemic has risen to 6,238,350.
According to the folder, 5,536,524 people recovered from covid-19, and another 529,852 are being monitored.
Brazil returns to stability in the moving average of deaths
Data from the media consortium indicate that, with an average of 477 deaths in the last seven days, Brazil had a variation of -2% with respect to the same period two weeks ago, which indicates stability in the average of deaths.
Among the regions, the Midwest (-47%) was the only one that showed a decrease, while the others had stability: Northeast (2%), North (6%), Southeast (2%) and South (14%) .
Excluding Rondônia and Goiás, eight states showed an upward trend, while nine and the Federal District fell. Seven were states in stability.
However, it is important to note that the increases in some states can be explained by the data blackout the country experienced in early November, cited at the beginning of this report. On the 6th, the Covid-19 death registration platform of the Ministry of Health began to have problems. Several states have reported difficulties.
The state of São Paulo was one of the most affected, with no deaths for five consecutive days. In the coming days, this problem in the system is expected to impact the percentage of upward, stable or downward trends in the affected states and also in the national trend.
To measure the situation of deaths from covid-19, experts indicate using the moving average of deaths, which calculates the average of records observed in the last seven days. The operation is the most suitable to observe the trend of the statistics, since it balances the abrupt variations of the numbers throughout the week.
The media consortium adopted this period to check for fluctuations in the moving average. It is possible to speak of a decrease in figures when the decrease is greater than 15% if it is verified in the last 14 days, in this case, the period of the last two weeks. If the numbers rise more than 15%, the epidemic accelerates. Intermediate values indicate stability.
See the situation by state and in the Federal District:
Southeast region
- Espírito Santo: acceleration (56%)
- Minas Gerais: stable (-13%)
- Rio de Janeiro: acceleration (35%)
- São Paulo: stable (-13%)
Northern region
- Amazon: acceleration (52%)
- Rondônia: decrease (-26%) * The state has not released death figures as of 8 pm today.
Northeast Region
- Ceará: acceleration (84%)
- Pernambuco: stable (10%)
- Rio Grande do Norte: decrease (-50%)
- Sergipe: acceleration (22%)
Central West Region
- Federal District: remains (-21%)
- Goiás: decrease (-48%) * The state has not released death data as of 8 pm today.
- Mato Grosso: left (-69%)
- Mato Grosso do Sul: remains (-24%)
Southern region
- Rio Grande do Sul: acceleration (24%)
- Santa Catarina: acceleration (117%)
Vehicles gather for information
In response to the decision of the government of Jair Bolsonaro to restrict access to data on the covid-19 pandemic, media Twitter, El Estado de S. Paulo, Folha de S.Paulo, O Globo, G1 and Extra formed a consortium to work collaboratively to seek the necessary information directly from the state health departments of the 27 units of the Federation.
The federal government, through the Ministry of Health, should be the natural source of these figures, but the attitudes of the authorities and the president himself during the pandemic cast doubt on the availability of the data and its veracity.
