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Seventy-four days after the confirmation of the first case of coronavirus In Brazil, the country arrived on Sunday with more than 10,000 deaths from the disease. On average, 185 people have lost their lives per day since the first death was recorded in the country, on March 17. Simulations made by a group of researchers from the University of São Paulo (USP) with the aim of identifying when the country will reach the peak of infections indicate that the number of deaths can double in the next 20 days and that infected people reach around 400 thousand per day. June 5, if no steps are taken to contain the transmission of the virus.
Infographic: Coronavirus numbers in Brazil and worldwide
The estimate is calculated by the statistician Carlos Alberto Bragança Pereira, specialist in the field of medical and biological applications, of the USP group, which also includes professors from the Faculty of Economics and Administration (FEA) and the Faculty of Public Health. Coordinated by the director of the Institute of Mathematics and Statistics of USP, Junior Barreira, they observe the numbers of the pandemic in an attempt to identify when the country will reach the peak of infections, from which the curves of cases and deaths will decrease, indicating a possible loosening of the rules of social isolation.
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