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Everything indicates the victory of Donald Trump in Florida. However, with 93% of the votes counted, the New York Times gives more than a 95% chance that the current president will win in the state, which has 29 electoral college seats and is considered something of a grand prize in the elections.
If this result is confirmed, one thing is certain in this dispute: the final result should take – perhaps hours, perhaps days, perhaps weeks – to be known.
United States Election: Real-time results tracking
This is because the dispute will be decided in other disputed states, including some that will receive votes mailed for days. The Trump campaign already disputes the validity of these votes in court, and this means that the count can take and, as happened in 2000, be resolved in court.
In Ohio, where Trump won in 2016 and where Biden now has a majority with 57% of the votes counted, letters sent through Tuesday can take until the 13th to be validated. However, votes that arrive after 8 pm local time will only be released in 10 days.
In Pennsylvania, another critical state, letters sent today have until Friday to arrive and be validated. The same day is the Michigan receipt deadline.
In more than 300 court cases, the Trump campaign questions these deadlines, which could be changed.
The chances of a legal battle are reduced if one of the candidates opens a wide margin. However, if it is tight, the result may not be known until Thanksgiving in three weeks, possibly extending into December.
Trump’s likely victory must be primarily due to the Latino vote, and especially citizens of Cuban and Venezuelan origin, in Miami-Dade, Florida’s most populous county.
If he takes Florida, one of the most important states in this election, which has 29 votes in the Electoral College, Donald Trump will be rewarded for his policy towards Cuba and Venezuela, which has tightened sanctions against the governments of both countries.
