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MetSul Meteorologia projects that the highest volumes of rainfall in the next seven days will occur in the Central Brazil region. The primary moisture channel in South America, originating from the Amazon, will operate between the Midwest and Southeast regions, bringing heavy rains to some states.
The rainfall trend for the next seven days indicates that the highest accumulated precipitation should be concentrated in the states of Mato Grosso, Goiás, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro and Espírito Santo. In Minas, in particular, rainfall volumes can be very high in the period with marks of up to 150mm to 200mm at some points. Belo Horizonte is in the risk zone for excessive rain. The rain, on most days, will come in late-night storms with torrential rainfall and very high volumes in a short period, posing a risk of flooding, flash floods, and landslides.
In southern Brazil, the highest volumes of rain should be concentrated between northern Rio Grande do Sul and Paraná with the highest volumes in eastern Paraná, which includes the Curitiba region that still needs rain to restore reservoir levels that they supply the city. The instability returns to Rio Grande do Sul from the West this weekend and acts in the North Half especially in the first half of the week. The accumulated in some areas must exceed that projected by the model, according to the MetSul evaluation, since it is instability associated with convection with isolated storms of intense rain.
The map above shows the projection of rainfall for the next seven days from the Icon model of the German meteorological service. This and other models with rain projections for days, weeks and months, with several daily updates, are available exclusively at subscriber from MetSul in the site maps section to plan your field activities, energy market analysis and other information demands for economic activity.
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