[ad_1]
January registered the highest number of deaths from covid-19 in a single month in the country since the pandemic began. The data comes from the Transparency portal of Arpen Brasil (Association of Registrars of Natural Personnel), which collects information on the cause of death indicated in the death certificate delivered at the registry offices.
With a second runaway wave in January, according to data still subject to update for more, there were 29,782 deaths from the disease caused by the new coronavirus. The record so far had been broken in July, when 29,723 died from covid-19.
The death toll in January even exceeds the sum of deaths from covid-19 between October and November (when we had the fewest deaths from the disease so far).
Unlike data from state departments – and consequently from the Ministry of Health and the press consortium – data from registry offices are based on the date of death, and not on the day the infection was registered by covid-19 (which takes days after death).
Yesterday, this moving average of daily records measured by the consortium, by the way, reached the highest number of the pandemic: 1,105 cases, the first time that it exceeded 1,100 since the arrival of covid-19 in the country.
The data from the Arpen Transparency Portal has a period of up to 15 days to enter the system. However, in many cases, this period may vary by more, which makes it possible to insert into the database referring to deaths after this period.
Difficult days ahead
THE Twitter presented the data to specialists, who only confirm the almost consensual view that Brazil faces the most serious moment of the pandemic, with forecasts of difficult days ahead.
Surely the second wave was much worse than the first, and there are already surveys that also indicate that the number of excess deaths is much higher in the second wave ”, says Fernando Spilki, doctor in genetics and molecular biology, former president of SBV (Society Brazilian of Virology) and professor at the Feevale University, in Rio Grande do Sul.
The excess of deaths is calculated by the deaths registered in the previous year with respect to the following year, discounting the growth of the population. In January 2021, there were 131,100 deaths recorded by registry offices, almost 20% more than the same month last year, which recorded 110,900 deaths.
Spilki also says that the new variants may even have influenced the spread of the virus, but the main problem was non-compliance with social isolation measures.
There may even be influence of the variants, but without a doubt the point that we have not adopted any protocol of more restricted circulation, as was the case of the first wave, is extremely relevant. I think we can attribute these deaths much more to a lack of control and restrictive measures. “
Variants are evolutionary mutations of the virus that occur, much more frequently, in places where it circulates with greater intensity, that is, with fewer measures of social isolation.
For the epidemiologist and professor at the USP School of Medicine (University of São Paulo), Paulo Lotufo, the country still has to face difficult times due to the second wave associated with the lack of stricter isolation measures.
“The moment of the pandemic is worse now because it occurs as a whole in the country. Before it had started in some places, then it decreased, but increased in others. We will live difficult days until April ”, he says.
[ad_2]
