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After the first round of the municipal elections, the PSL experiences its biggest dilemma for 2022: how to prevent the initials from becoming a rotten party again. The future is uncertain and the solution is far from easy. Internal disputes continue and the tendency is for the different sides to remain on the warpath.
The “Bolsonarista wing”, faithful to President Jair Bolsonaro, is still working towards his return to the PSL. The “bivariate wing”, linked to the national president of the acronym, federal deputy Luciano Bivar (PSL-PE), wrinkles its nose – mainly the São Paulo board, which is strictly against the return of the president. Behind the scenes, those most opposed to a possible return of Bolsonaro even threaten to leave the party if that happens.
Today, neither party has a solution to ensure that the PSL remains a relevant party on the national scene. Without internal pacification, the horizon of the legend is cloudy and full of uncertainties. The Bolsonaristas maintain that without Bolsonaro there will be no tomorrow for the caption and it will return to what it was before the 2018 elections. The Bivaristas blame the President of the Republic for the weakening of the acronym and associate the failure in the municipal elections with the. “As much as Bolsonaro is no longer in the party, his image is still closely linked to the PSL and that, in a way, hampered – and a lot – says a deputy.
The “bivaristas” – who currently run the PSL – even try to hold their heads high under the narrative that, despite the laments, the party has grown in size in the municipalities compared to four years ago.
But they recognize that this growth did not keep up with the party’s increase in electoral and party fund resources. In total, the title had R $ 287.26 million available for campaign financing. It launched 731 candidates for city councils and 20,200 candidates for city councils. He elected 90 mayors, none in the 100 largest cities in the country, and 1,200 councilors, obtaining 2.79 million votes.
The result of this places the PSL in position 16 among the parties that made the most mayors and councilors, having been the 15th most voted. This means that each vote costs around R $ 102.90, almost four times more than the average of the other 14 subtitles, of R $ 26.20.
The summit of the acronyms still had the luxury of wasting resources with the candidacy of the lawyer Carlos Lima, who disputed the mayor of Recife, the electoral base of Bivar, his personal friend. His campaign counted on R $ 4.3 million from the party and obtained 13.9 thousand votes. That is, on average, each vote cost R $ 308.53, triple that.
The vice president of the PSL analyzes a solution for the future of the party
On the “Bolsonarista” side, the result was not very different. The Bolsonaro family’s support for 58 candidates was enough to elect seven councilors and two mayors, with another five in the second round.
For them, the poor performance of the “Bolsonarista” candidates leaves no doubt that Bolsonaro is the origin of the problems and the poor result of the PSL in these elections, assesses federal deputy Júnior Bozzella (PSL-SP), president of the São Paulo board of directors and national vice president of the party. “We could have grown more if we had gotten rid of the Bolsonarista anchor,” said the deputy. People’s Gazette.
The infighting and the association with Bolsonaro are pointed out by Bozzella as the main cause of failure, even with so much funding from the funds. “We have – and we had – problems of a political, partisan nature, of coexistence with the digital militia. In the only year that we had to work, the party fought ”, he laments.
With the internal disputes, the vice president of the party points out that they failed to articulate any directory and make solid candidacies feasible. “When the elections came, I had [eleitoral e partidário] to deliver to people who, practically, had not been candidates “, justifies.
For Bozella, the performance of the party in 2022 necessarily implies the exclusion of the “bolsonaristas”. “How are we going to attract minimally coherent people and good deputies with these schizophrenics? [deputados ‘bolsonaristas’] cursing the party all day? There is only one way: get rid of these ‘Trojan horses’. “
For him, the least important thing is how to do it. “You have to give a free pass, send off, do something. That would always be the main burden that the party would have in this process, “he says.
Bozzella says flirting with Bolsonaro’s possible return to the party is obviously not the way to go. “We need to elect and re-elect good deputies, governors, deputy governors and senators who will only come out with the elimination of Bolsonarism. Or the party, once and for all, confronts itself in Bolsonarism and all those who embrace die ”, he warns. “And then each one makes his assessment, but I have the feeling that this is not the way and the trend.”
For Bozzella, the “message from the polls” was very clear about Bolsonaro’s idea of returning to the party. “In the end, the PSL and Bolsonarismo lost in these elections. Let it be an example. There is time to do this reconsideration, to move forward with the project. PSL is a good package, it has its political capital, its flags, and we need to refine it, against everything and everyone ”.
The “bolsonaristas” defeated the defeat and defend the return of Bolsonaro
The PSL pocket wing disagrees with Bozzella. In view of the difficulties of Aliança pelo Brasil to leave the newspaper, the ideal for members heard by People’s Gazette It is that the President of the Republic must return to the party. Aliança is the party that Bolsonaro tried to build from scratch.
“What future does PSL want to have? Will there be a future without Bolsonaro? What tomorrow would that be? If there is a possibility that he will return, thinking pragmatically, it is the best way ”, says an interlocutor. For the deputies of that nucleus, the poor result of the caption in the election can help reduce resistance. “Perhaps now, with the failure of the opponents in São Paulo, the resistance to his name will diminish”, analyzes one of them.
Contrary to what Bozzella maintains, the reading that the Bolsonaristas make is that the president did not fail in the elections. For them, the president was wrong to join the campaign after saying he would not do that. “Then he began to present and defend candidates without strategy or planning, which resulted in the narrative he lost,” says one interlocutor.
For this wing of support for the President of the Republic, there would be no inconsistency in a possible return. On the contrary, the speech is much more comfortable. We had a fight and a short break in marriage. But now we are back on behalf of Brazil. It is much easier to justify this than a total change of position, “he adds.
The Bolsonaristas also understand that a good number of deputies of the “bivarian wing” are at their side. “Everyone is concerned about the reelection of their own mandate within two years; not with Bolsonaro or Bivar ”, says a parliamentarian. The president’s allies guarantee that a large part of the “bivaristas” keep an “open door” upon Bolsonaro’s return to arrive in 2022, still popular. “If that rift continues, it is not a good idea to be seen as anti-Bolsonaro,” says one.
The calculation made by this group is that, despite the membership invitations that Bolsonaro received, it is more advantageous for them – their almost unconditional base of support – to be in a legend that does not have a prepared and strong structure in the states. . If the president joins a large or medium party, such as the PP, the PL, or the Republicans, for example, his allies will have a difficult time dealing with local alliances.
In parallel, the two parties are trying to reach an agreement.
Parallel to the fight between the bolsonarista and bivariate wings of the PSL, the two parties are trying to reach an agreement. The political articulation of Bolsonaro’s return to the PSL is sewn between his spokesman in the negotiation, Deputy Filipe Barros (PSL-PR), and Bivar’s representative, lawyer Antônio Rueda, another national vice president of the party. The dialogue between the two resulted in a meeting between Bolsonaro and Rueda. Then, in October, he received Bivar himself.
The rapprochement process promises to be prolonged. It is about Bolsonaro’s demand to nominate allies for some boards, such as that of Paraná, currently led by an opponent, Fernando Francischini. In the latest talks between Barros and Rueda, it was agreed that they would wait for the elections to pass before resuming negotiations.
