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Fiocruz alert: the death rate from coronavirus in Brazil exceeds the United States and Europe. “Our current situation is worse than that of Italy, Spain and the United States,” says epidemiologist Diego Xavier, researcher at MonitoraCovid-19
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247 – The number of deaths caused by the new coronavirus in Brazil doubles every five days. In the United States, the number doubles every six days, and in Italy and Spain, every eight. The troubling data can be found in the latest technical note for MonitoraCovid-19, a Fiocruz system that groups data on the new coronavirus pandemic and reveals the speed with which the epidemic is spreading in Brazil. The Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz), linked to the Ministry of Health, is the most outstanding health science and technology institution in Latin America. “Our current situation is worse than that of Italy, Spain and the United States. For this reason, the number of deaths doubles in a shorter period of time, “says epidemiologist Diego Xavier, a researcher at the Institute of Communication and Health Information (Icict), of Fiocruz, and one of the leaders of MonitoraCovid-19 . In addition to epidemiologists, geographers and statisticians from Icict / Fiocruz, they have been working with the tool to produce analyzes on the progress of the disease, says the journalist. Roberta Jansen, from O Estado de S.Paulo.
According to Xavier, “the death data is more reliable than the case data to measure the progress of the epidemic”, because “in the case of death, even the diagnosis that was not made during the patient’s clinical evolution can be investigated . Furthermore, the clinical situation of the dying patient is more evident compared to cases that may be asymptomatic and mild. “
The Fiocruz technical note also warns of the accelerated process of internalization of the epidemic, which is reaching smaller municipalities. Among the municipalities with more than 500 thousand inhabitants, all already have cases of the disease. In those with a population between 50,000 and 100,000 inhabitants, 59.6% have cases. 25.8% of the municipalities with a population between 20 thousand and 50 thousand, 11.1% of those with a population between 10 thousand and 20 thousand inhabitants and 4.1% of the municipalities with a population of up to 10 thousand inhabitants have covid patients. 19.
For the epidemiologist, the decision to suspend social isolation in municipalities that do not have registered cases of the disease is “unwise” and occurs exactly at the moment when the speed of spread of the disease increases. “They are making a very risky decision,” he says.
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