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If in the first round of the municipal elections President Jair Bolsonaro (without a party) was considered one of the great losers, in this second round it was the left that did not obtain expressive results. The largest party in the political field, the PT, won only 4 of the 15 disputes in which it participated. Psol only elected the former mayor of PT Edmilson Rodrigues, in Belém, but lost the capital of São Paulo by almost 20 percentage points to toucan Bruno Covas.
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For the first time since 1985, the party of former president Lula does not take capital. He lost in Vitória and Recife this Sunday (11/29). Of the 15 disputes this Sunday, Diadema (SP), Mauá (SP), Contagem (MG) and Juiz de Fora (MG) took only a small margin.
President Jair Bolsonaro saw the strengthening of Governor João Doria (SP), his current discontent, with the PSDB obtaining almost half of the votes of the electorate of the most populous state in the country. His ally Celso Russomanno (Republicans) was fourth in the first round. In Rio de Janeiro, Marcelo Crivella (Republicans) had just under 36% of the valid votes against Eduardo Paes (DEM)
According to the political scientist and professor at the FGV Sérgio Praça, Bolsonaro characterized himself throughout his political career as a stranger. “It was never the tradition of the ex-MP to loyalty or great dedication to the majority elections, except the one he disputed in 2018. I think his situation is not so uncomfortable for a reelection attempt in 2022. It will depend on the fragmentation of the rivals. I see to left field in a more delicate situation ”.
In two northeastern capitals, the initials of the left won important victories. In the capital of Ceará, a broad alliance between PDT, Gomes family, PT, among others, guaranteed the election of José Sarto. But the victory in Fortaleza was not easy over Captain Wagner, who obtained just over 48% of the votes.
In Recife, the Arraes clan undertook a tense second round of verbal attacks, and the son of former governor Eduardo Campos (PSB), who died in 2014, became the mayor of the country’s youngest capital when he beat his cousin Marília. Arraes (PT). João Campos, 27, obtained just over 56% of the valid votes.
The women, by the way, had little shine in this election. Only Palmas (TO) re-elected Cinthia Ribeiro (PSDB). The runner-up to Fernando Haddad (PT) in the last presidential elections, Manuela d’Ávila (PC do B), was defeated by Sebastião Melo in the dispute for the Porto Alegre City Council.
The political scientist Rafael Cortez, a partner at Trends Consultancy, on the other hand, doesn’t consider the result a total failure of the left field. “Guilherme Boulos (Psol) going to the second round in the São Paulo capital was a strengthening, a novelty. But the degree of this competitiveness in 2022 will basically depend on two factors: the performance of the Bolsonaro government in the last two years of his mandate and the degree of opposition coordination in different states, at a time when the electoral law vetoed the coalition of majority positions with the legislatures. “
Cortez also did not see a “moderation” victory over “radicalism.” “The 2020 municipal election was basically the maintenance of the the status quo, not necessarily left or right, but generally names that gave continuity. “
The dispute this Sunday in 18 capitals was of little surprise, with the return of the candidates who were in second place and ended up winning the elections only in Manaus, with David Almeida (Avante), Cuiabá, with the re-election of the current mayor Emanuel Pinheiro (MDB). ), and JHC (PSB), who finished second in the first round in Maceió, by a difference of just over a thousand votes.
In the rest of the first and second rounds, the BMD took five capitals and the DEM and PSDB, four each.
Abstention
The country registered 29.5% abstentions in the second round of elections on Sunday, the highest rate since 1996. There has been a consecutive increase in abstentions in the second round of municipal elections since the 2000s.
The ranking of absences is led by the current election, followed by 2016 (21.6%) and with 1996 in third position (19.4%). In 2012, the index was 19.1%.
In São Paulo, the abstention rate was 30.81% this year.
See here the elected mayors in the capitals
See here the mayors elected outside the capitals this Sunday
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