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With the 1-1 draw with Figueirense, last Friday, the chance to access by cruise for Srie A fell almost to half. It was 2%, according to the Department of Mathematics of UFMG. Now 1.2%.
‘Infobola’ says that the celestial club has a 1% probability of playing First Division next year, while the ‘Chance of Goal’ website says that the probability is 1.6%
The distance to the G4 went from 13 to 12 points. However, Raposa has one round less to try to get closer to the top four group: Chapecoense (47 points), Amrica (40), Sampaio Corra (37) and Juventude (37). The chances are so slim that coach Luiz Felipe Scolari ‘prohibited’ the team from talking about it.
UFMG estimates that a club with 63 points you have more than 99% chance of gaining access. To reach this score, the celestial team needs 38 points in 17 games, 12 victories and two draws until the end of the competition.
The team led by Felipo is in position 15, with 25 points. The distance to the relegation zone is five points. Nutico, who opens the Z4, has 20 points: click here and go to the table of Srie B.
Cruzeiro’s risk of falling also decreased. It was 16.2%, according to the UFMG, and increased to 15.5%.
According to UFMG, a club that arrives 47 points has only a 0.1% risk of falling into Series C. To reach that number, Fox still needs another 22 points.
cruise
Access probability
UFMG – 1.2%
Infobola – 1%
Goal chance – 1.6%
Risk of degradation
UFMG – 15.5%
Infobola – Do not perform this calculation
Goal chance – 0.9%
