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BRASÍLIA – The Palácio do Planalto still believes that the president of the United States, Donald Trump, will be re-elected, but is already outlining scenarios that include the victory of Joe Biden and the judicialization of the elections, should the Democrat win. If Trump follows through on his promise to appeal to the Supreme Court, alleging fraud in the count of the results, the advice given by Bolsonaro’s closest advisers is that he will only speak after the official confirmation of the winner.
Jair Bolsonaro receives periodic analyzes of the situation in the United States. This Wednesday, the president had lunch with the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ernesto Araújo, and Planalto’s international affairs advisor, Filipe Martins.
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Bolsonaro asked Araújo not to travel with Vice President Hamilton Mourão to the Amazon and to stay in Brasilia, so that they can continue the development of the electoral process in the United States together. Mourão was accompanied by other ministers and ambassadors in the region, to show what the Brazilian government has been doing to contain deforestation.
According to a source close to Bolsonaro, the scenario considered “the best in the world” for the Brazilian government is Trump’s victory. The partnership with Brazil’s greatest ally today will be strengthened, guided by a conservative agenda. However, the Brazilian government will be forced to adopt positions on the Paris Agreement (in which almost 200 countries commit to reducing gas emissions that cause global warming) and the World Trade Organization, two multilateral forums rejected by Washington.
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The third scenario is with Joe Biden winning, without legal challenge. The bet is on a pragmatic relationship. Despite the divergences and the possibility that the Democrat will retaliate against Brazil, due to deforestation in the Amazon, the expectation is that the governments of both countries will focus on a dense agenda with common interests, such as increasing trade and democratization in America. Latin America, with an emphasis on Venezuela. There is a conviction that both Republicans and Democrats in the United States are against the regime of Venezuelan Nicolás Maduro.
Admiration for Donald Trump leads the Bolsonaro family not always to follow the recommendations of their closest collaborators. This Wednesday, President Jair Bolsonaro again praised Trump and covered Joe Biden on social media, mentioning the possibility of “outside interference” in Brazil and foreign interests in the Amazon. His son, Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro, questioned the legitimacy of the vote count in the United States.
