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Justified in responding to speculation that older people killed by the coronavirus would have a short lifespan even before the disease, a survey gathered data to try to estimate how many years Covid-19 victims lose on average after the 50 years. The result: 14 years for men without pre-existing diseases and 12 years for women. Those with other health problems could live an average of another 13 years; They are 11 years old.
/i.s3.glbimg.com/v1/AUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a/internal_photos/bs/2020/a/W/tBMkhEQrS3ZM7QfE9eqw/grafico-radar-mortalidadexcomorbidade-1-.png "Half-life lost by Covid-19 - Photo: Guilherme Pinheiro / G1")
Half-life lost by Covid-19 – Photo: Guilherme Pinheiro / G1
The article has not yet been peer-reviewed (analysis by other scientists) and lists some shortcomings, such as a lack of information on Covid-19 victims. Studies from Italy, the United Kingdom, Scotland and the World Health Organization (WHO) were used as the basis, with the scientific review of 77 articles and the choice of a case study: the Instituto Superiore di Sanità (ISS) presented data of 11 common comorbidities in 701 patients with 1, 2, 3 or more associated diseases, within a total sample of 6,801 people.
“Since people who die from Covid-19 are predominantly older and have pre-existing underlying conditions (LTC), some have speculated that many of these people would soon die from other causes and that life expectancy may therefore not suffer much. impact, “the authors wrote.
The chosen method indicated a large oscillation of lost life, depending on the amount of comorbidities and age. In the case of Sars-CoV-2, heart disease, diabetes, obesity, cancer, and respiratory disease are factors that can lead to a more serious version of the infection. The researchers show that the number of these associated diseases makes a big difference when counting the average number of years lost by the patient, since comorbidity itself could cause death regardless of the coronavirus.
A person without comorbidity aged 50 to 59 years can lose, on average, 35 years of life when dying from Covid-19. Even a hypothetical patient with 4 diseases associated with Sars-CoV-2 infection and with that same age group would be missing 23 years. Of course, without suffering an unpredictable cause, such as a plane crash or death from any crime.
The fact is that, according to scientists, from 50 to 79 years old, even with up to 4 comorbidities, the elderly would have at least another 10 years of life. However, one issue to consider is Italy’s high life expectancy, which provides some of the data: 83 years. In Brazil, he is 75 years old.
Rafael Thomazi, a specialist from the Brazilian Society of Geriatrics and Gerontology, says that other diseases already cause a reduction in the life of the elderly, such as Alzheimer’s and advanced dementia, and to understand the possibilities of each individual, the best way is ” individualizing the elderly patient, not simply by age, and saying that Covid-19 will reduce life expectancy. ”
“I do not see myself favorably when you have an older person, and you have a young person, and simply because of age you choose to intubate a younger patient. That is very little, it does not make much sense. It is an important topic to discuss. So what do we defend ? Individualize case by case so that the doctor does not have to make that decision, “he explained.
In Brazil, the last detailed bulletin with cases of the disease indicated that people over 60 years old account for 70% of deaths. The most common associated diseases are heart disease, diabetes and neurological diseases.
