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RIO – Nine months after its eruption in China, Covid-19 reached the one million death mark in the world this Monday, amid a second wave of cases in European countries and still far from being contained in the United States. in Latin America and India.
In total, the new coronavirus has infected more than 33.2 million people worldwide, according to a survey by Johns Hopkins University (USA).
Brazil. Country registers 335 new deaths from Covid-19, reports press consortium bulletin
The United States is by far the country most affected by the number of deaths and cases, with approximately 205,000 deaths. It is followed by Brazil, with around 142 thousand deaths until this Monday, and later India (95.5 thousand), Mexico (76.4 thousand) and the United Kingdom (42 thousand).
The moving average of deaths in Brazil is just under 700 since last Wednesday, still high, the equivalent of four crowded Boeing 737s falling daily in the country.
Brazil and the United States are the only countries with deaths in the six digits, a mark that should soon reach India, where Covid-19 is advancing overwhelmingly. In an interview with GLOBO, former Minister of Health Luiz Henrique Mandetta, dismissed in April by President Jair Bolsonaro, estimated that the country should reach 180,000 losses before the approval of a vaccine against the new coronavirus.
Brazilian statistics indicate that the country has one of the highest mortality rates in the world. Its fatality rate is the seventh highest on the planet, according to the Worldometers website: there are 666 deaths per million inhabitants, ahead even of the United States, which leads the world ranking, and the United Kingdom, the most affected country in Europe. Western. .
The situation in Brazil
Brazil registered 16,412 new cases and 385 new deaths from Covid-19 in the last 24 hours. As a result, 4,748,327 people are infected and 142,161 lives have been lost to the coronavirus since the start of the pandemic, according to a press release from the media consortium on Monday. The downward trend was observed in 15 federative units.
The moving average of the number of deaths was 687, with a variation of -15% compared to the average of two weeks ago. Any value between -15% and 15% indicates stabilization. Since August 12, the calculation result is below 1,000 and, since September 7, below 800.
The state with the highest number of deaths is São Paulo, with 35,108 fatalities from the disease, followed by Rio (18,278), Ceará (8,919), Pernambuco (8,174) and Pará (6,551), according to the press vehicles consortium. formed by formed by O GLOBO, Extra, G1, Folha de S.Paulo, UOL and O Estado de S. Paulo.
Watch. See here how the coronavirus situation is in your state
The country has 14 states, in addition to the Federal District, with a downward trend in the moving average of deaths: Acre, Alagoas, Ceará, Goiás, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Pará, Paraná, Piauí, Rio Grande do Norte , Rio Grande do Sul, Rondônia, São Paulo and Sergipe. Nine federal units have a stable moving average trend: Bahía, Espírito Santo, Maranhão, Minas Gerais, Paraíba, Pernambuco, Rio de Janeiro, Santa Catarina and Tocantins. In three, Amapá, Amazonas and Roraima, the trend is upward.
The moving average averages between the number of deaths for the day and the previous six. It is compared with an average of two weeks ago to indicate if there is an uptrend, stability or a downtrend. The calculation is a statistical resource to be able to see the trend of the data, drowning out the “noise” caused on weekends, when the notification of deaths is reduced by the shortage of employees in service, also impacting on Mondays.
The country did not have a ‘strategic vision’
The advance of the coronavirus did not surprise Gabriel Maisonnave Arisi, a researcher at the Unifesp Paulista School of Medicine, who has followed the pandemic since the first cases in January.
– The reproduction rate of the virus was very high, and an infected person infected three or four others. The Chinese blockade did not cover air transport, which was the main vector of the disease.
The researcher estimates that the pandemic will kill 210,000 people in Brazil by the end of the year. It’s a sign that it will take a long time for the country to recover from the peak of the pandemic in August, where the number of cases has stalled at a level that he said was unacceptable.
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Guilherme Werneck, professor of epidemiology at Uerj, indicates that several nations have not demonstrated a strategic vision to face the pandemic, Brazil is a “clear example”.
– We lacked personal protective equipment and fans around the world, but we have a reasonable industrial and technological base. We could have been better prepared to produce materials more quickly.
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Werneck criticizes the federal government’s confrontation with the coronavirus, which he defines as “erratic” and that he would have chosen to confront the scientific evidence:
– The virus arrived in Brazil two months after other countries. We knew it was not a trivial situation. The government should have sought a union of states for a discourse of national unity that would attract the population.
Arisi estimates that the coronavirus is changing stage, from a pandemic to an endemic one, a sign that it will remain in the world population longer.
– We will continue to wear a mask for the next year. It will be a long transition until we achieve a universal access vaccine.
Covid-19 around the world
The state of New York, the first epicenter of Covid-19 in the United States, registered, for the first time since June 5, more than 1,000 cases of contagion in one day. However, as has been the case in Europe, death records are even lower compared to March and April.
Infographic: coronavirus figures in Brazil and around the world
Despite new outbreaks, the situation in Australia appears to be stabilizing. In Melbourne, the second largest city, the current night curfew was lifted on Monday, almost two months after it was imposed. Last Sunday, there were only 16 new infections and two deaths statewide.
In Europe, restrictions are multiplied to contain new outbreaks. The Community of Madrid, in Spain, is preparing to extend the current restrictions to new areas. As of this Monday, 167 thousand more inhabitants, thus exceeding one million people, will only be able to leave their neighborhoods to work, go to the doctor or take their children to school.
Watch. See here how the coronavirus situation is in your state
The measure sparked protests in front of the parliament of the Community of Madrid, located in the southern district of Vallecas, one of the humble neighborhoods affected by the measures since last week. “The rich are not confined,” read one of the posters displayed during the protest.
In the UK, almost half of Wales went into local lockdown last Sunday. The cities of Cardiff and Swansea were prohibited from entering or leaving the cities, except for professional or student reasons.
In France, the government last week strengthened sanitary measures to contain the coronavirus in 11 major cities, including Paris, where bars were closed at 10 p.m.
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Dozens of owners of bars, restaurants and nightclubs, as well as representatives of the hotel sector, protested this Sunday in the French capital against the decision.
– We do not understand how the population is safer in the subway than in our establishments, or how the virus at 21:59 is harmless, but it will kill everyone at 22:01 – said Stéphane Manigold, spokesman for the group.
In Brussels, bars and cafes must also close their doors at 11:00 pm.
Mandetta:‘We could have 180,000 dead until the vaccine comes out’
The World Health Organization (WHO) now fears that the pandemic will cause 2 million deaths if the world does not mobilize steadily, and is increasing calls for an equitable distribution of future vaccines.
The race for the vaccine has already begun and each country wants to ensure that its population has sufficient doses. The United States, Europe and Japan have already reserved more than half of the doses that would have been available initially.
At the UN General Assembly, Latin America and Australia demanded free access to future vaccines. China has promised to share its vaccine with all countries that request it.
The Prime Minister of India, Narenda Modi, a country that is the world’s largest vaccine manufacturer, has pledged to use its resources to fight the pandemic “to help all of humanity.” (Constança Tatsch, Johanns Eller and Renato Grandelle)