Ibope survey in São Luís, valid votes: Braide, 41%; Duarte, 19%; Neto Evangelista, 19% | Elections 2020 in Maranhão

The percentage of valid votes of each candidate corresponds to the proportion of the candidate’s votes over the total votes, excluding white, invalid and undecided votes. A candidate is elected in the 1st round if he obtains 50% plus one of the valid votes in the official count.

Questions whose percentage sums do not add up to 100% are due to rounding or multiple answers.

Regarding valid votes from the previous Ibope survey, dated November 6:

• Eduardo Braide went from 39% to 41%;
• Duarte Júnior went from 24% to 19%;
• Neto Evangelista went from 17% to 19%;
• Rubens Júnior went from 7% to 9%;
• Bira do Pindaré remained at 6%;
• Jeisael Marx went from 3% to 2%;
• Silvio Antônio went from 1% to 2%
• YGLESIO Moyses went from 2% to 1%;
• Professor Franklin stayed at 1%;
• Hertz Dias went from 1% to 0%;

• Eduardo Braide (We Can): 37%
• Duarte Júnior (Republicans): 17%
• Net Evangelista (DEM): 17%
• Rubens Junior (PCdoB): 8%
• Bira do Pindaré (PSB): 6%
• Jeisael Marx (RED): 2%
• Professor Franklin (PSOL): 1%
• Moyses Church (PROS): 1%
• Silvio Antônio (PRTB): 1%
• Hertz Days (PSTU): 0%
• White / Null: 5%
• Don’t know / No answer: 5%

Regarding Total votes in the previous Ibope survey, on November 6:

• Eduardo Braide went from 36% to 37%;
• Duarte Júnior went from 22% to 17%;
• Neto Evangelista went from 16% to 17%;
• Rubens Júnior went from 7% to 8%;
• Bira do Pindaré remained at 6%;
• Jeisael Marx stayed at 2%
• Professor Franklin stayed at 1%;
• YGLESIO Moyses stayed at 1%;
• Silvio Antônio stayed at 1%
• Hertz Dias went from 1% to 0%;
• Blank / Null was 3% to 5%;
• I don’t know / No answer was 3% to 5%;

The poll also asked who voters they wouldn’t vote at all. The percentages were as follows:

• Bira do Pindaré (PSB): 26%
• Rubens Junior (PCdoB): 22%
• Eduardo Braide (We Can): 22%
• Net Evangelista (DEM): 20%
• Silvio Antônio (PRTB): 19%
• Professor Franklin (PSOL): 19%
• Moyses Church (PROS): 18%
• Jeisael Marx (REDE): 16%
• Duarte Júnior (Republicans): 15%
• Hertz Days (PSTU): 14%
• I could vote for all: 3%
• Don’t know / No answer: 8%

Respondents can name more than one candidate, so the results add up to more than 100%.

See previous Ibope survey, from November 6

See the Ibope survey in São Luís on October 23

Ibope also ran second round simulations among the top 4 ranked candidates in the previous poll, on November 6. Check out:

Eduardo Braide (Podemos) vs Duarte Júnior (Republicans)

• Eduardo Braide: 51%
• Duarte Júnior: 32%
• White / Null: 12%
• Don’t know / No answer: 4%

Eduardo Braide (Podemos) x Neto Evangelista (DEM)

• Eduardo Braide: 50%
• Net Evangelista: 34%
• White / Null: 12%
• Don’t know / No answer: 4%

Eduardo Braide (Podemos) x Rubens Júnior (PCdoB)

• Eduardo Braide: 57%
• Rubens Junior: 26%
• White / Null: 13%
• Don’t know / No answer: 4%

The sum of the percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

• Margin of error: 3 percentage points more or less
• Who Was Heard: 805 São Luís voters
• When the survey was conducted: November 11-13
• The survey was commissioned by TV Mirante
• Identification number in the Electoral Tribunal: MA-08294/2020.

The confidence level used is 95%. This means that there is a 95% probability that the results reflect the current electoral moment, considering the margin of error.