Ibope poll in Cuiabá, valid votes: Abílio, 32%; Emanuel Pinheiro, 31%; Gisela Simona, 16%; Roberto França, 14% | 2020 elections in Mato Grosso

The percentage of valid votes for each candidate corresponds to the proportion of the candidate’s votes over the total votes, excluding white, invalid and undecided votes. A candidate is elected in the 1st round if he obtains 50% plus one of the valid votes in the official count. In other words, the investigation scenario points to an eventual second round.

Questions whose percentage sums do not add up to 100% are due to rounding or multiple answers.

• Abílio went from 29% to 32%;
• Emanuel Pinheiro went from 28% to 31%;
• Gisela Simona went from 18% to 16%
• Roberto França went from 18% to 14%;
• Julier went from 4% to 5%;
• Aécio Rodrigues remained at 2%;
• Gilberto Lopes Filho remained at 0%;
• Paulo Henrique Grando kept 0%

Total votes (includes undecided, blank and null)

• Abílio: 27%
• Emanuel Pinheiro: 26%
• Gisela Simona: 13%
• Roberto França: 12%
• Julier (PT): 4%
• Aécio Rodrigues (PSL): 1%
• Gilberto Lopes (PSL): 0%
• Paulo Henrique Grando (New): 0%
• White / Null: 8%
• Don’t know / No answer: 9%

• Abílio went from 26% to 27%;
• Emanuel Pinheiro went from 25% to 26%;
• Gisela Simona went from 16% to 13%;
• Roberto França went from 16% to 12%
• Julier went from 3% to 4%;
• Aécio Rodrigues went from 2% to 1%;
• Paulo Henrique Grando (Novo) remained at 0%;
• Gilberto Lopes (PSOL) remained at 0%;
• Branco / Nulo went from 7% to 8%;
• I don’t know / No answer was 4% to 9%.

Ibope also ran second round simulations among the top 2 ranked candidates in the previous poll, on October 30. Check out:

• Abílio: 45%
• Emanuel: 37%
• White / Null: 11%
• Don’t know / No answer: 7%

The poll also asked who voters would not vote for at all. The percentages were as follows:

• Emanuel Pinheiro (MDB): 36%
• Roberto França (Patriots): 20%
• Abílio Júnior (Podemos): 16%
• Julier Sebastião (PT): 12%
• Gisela Simona (Pros): 6%
• Aécio Rodrigues (PSL): 5%
• Gilberto Lopes (Psol): 5%
• Paulo Henrique Grando (new): 5%
• They could vote for all: 4%
• They do not know or prefer not to comment: 13%

Respondents could indicate more than one answer, so the sum of the mentioned factors is more than 100%.

• Margin of error: 4 percentage points more or less
• Who was heard: 602 voters in the city of Cuiabá
• When the survey was conducted: November 10-12
• The survey was commissioned by TV Centro América
• Identification number in the Electoral Tribunal: MT-05359/2020

The confidence level used is 95%. This means that there is a 95% probability that the results reflect the current electoral moment, considering the margin of error.

It works like this: Elections 2020