Flamengo almost doubles the title chances, and Inter has 66%; Botafogo is mathematically degraded | Brasileirão Serie A



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The 34th day of the Brasileirão was very positive for Flamengo. With the victory over basque, allied to Inter tie with Athletico-PR, Rubro-Negro almost doubled his chances of winning the Brasileirão. Before the round, they were at 16%. Now they’ve jumped to 30%. The Inter leader, of course, follows the favorite, with 66% chance to lift the cup. The projections are from the Infobola website, by the mathematician Tristão García.

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Two other clubs still have title chances, but now with only 2% each: Atlético-MG and São Paulo. Both live in a time of instability in terms of technical command. The Rooster lives with a Olympique de Marseille, France’s interest in hiring Jorge Sampaoli. The Tricolor do Morumbi is in Market capture phase to define the successor of Fernando Diniz.

Gabigol celebrates a goal scored in the classic against Vasco – Photo: André Durão / ge

Round 34 had a postponed match: São Paulo and Palmeiras, in Morumbi. It was postponed to the 19th of this month, due to Verdão’s participation in the Club World Cup.

The fight against relegation now has one less club (and a place already full): with the defeat for the sport this friday, Botafogo descends mathematically to Second Division of the next season.

Sport, for its part, scored three very important points. He reached 38, took the elevator and surpassed Vasco and Fortaleza, closing the round in 14th place. The chances of relegation were, before the round, 36% for Pernambuco. They fell to 14%.

Botafogo players dejected after the defeat and the confirmed relegation – Photo: André Durão

Now, with the exception of Botafogo, already degraded, the most desperate situation is that of Coritiba, which also lost in the round (to Fortaleza). Coxa has a 99% chance of relegation. Goiás, despite having beat Atlético-MG this Wednesday, in Serrinha, remains in a delicate situation, with an 88% chance of falling.

  • International: 66%
  • Flamengo: 30%
  • Athletic-MG: 2%
  • São Paulo: 2%
  • Botafogo: 100%
  • Coritiba: 99%
  • Goiás: 88%
  • Bay: 41%
  • Basque: 37%
  • Strength: 21%
  • Sport: 14%
  • International: 99%
  • Flamengo: 99%
  • Athletic-MG: 88%
  • São Paulo: 74%
  • Fluminense: 28%
  • Palmeiras (already guaranteed in Libertadores 2021): 9%
  • Guild: 3%

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