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ORLANDO AND SÃO PAULO – Two events promise to shake President Donald Trump this Halloween Saturday in the United States: the rallies that Joe Biden and former President Barack Obama will hold in the decisive state of Michigan. It will be the first time this campaign that Obama will side with the Democratic candidate, in a last effort to use all his popularity and energize the Democratic base to vote for his former vice president, which could end up being decisive.
Obama, the best-qualified politician in the country, incisively entered the campaign only at the decisive stage, with 12 days to close the polls. However, long before, he was much more active on his social networks – speaking to his 124 million followers on Twitter, more than the sum of Trump (87.3 million) and Biden (11.7 million) – than he. in 2016, when the office liturgy halted the election of Hillary Clinton. Now, her charisma has generated results.
– I think Obama made a good decision when he appointed Biden as vice president. The fact that I am supporting Biden now has a lot to do with him being Obama’s deputy, said 29-year-old pharmacist Jasmine Smith, who despite voting early, tried, through the cracks of a grid, see the rally that the former president did in Orlando on Wednesday.
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Today’s events, in modern drive-in style due to the new coronavirus pandemic, aim to energize voters who brought Obama to the White House in 2008 and 2012, but who were not encouraged to vote for Hillary. Operating in states that elected Trump by a small margin in 2016, Obama has even drawn Trumpist protests to the events he attends, demonstrating the former president’s political strength.
‘Good cop, bad cop’
More than an Obama “seal of quality” for his former deputy, his participation in the Democratic campaign is loaded with unprecedented quality. It is also full of strategy, serving so that Biden can preach the union of the country and avoid strong criticism of Trump, which could displease independent and repentant Republicans, in a kind of “good cop, bad cop” policy – the classic system Americans in which a “good” cop tries a positive approach, while the “bad” cop does what is called “dirty work,” that is, he criticizes Trump more, which would be bad for Biden’s strategy. create a government of unity and free from hate.
– President Obama has been more involved in this presidential campaign than any previous or outgoing president in modern times. He has been Joe Biden’s most valuable representative and advocate in key states across the country that will determine the results of Tuesday’s election, Robert Yoon, a professor of media coverage of the presidential campaign at the University of Michigan, told GLOBE.
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For him, rather than breaking the “presidential posture of neutrality” of former White House tenants, Obama has taken the opportunity to harshly criticize Trump:
Obama also broke with the tradition of other former presidents of not generally criticizing the current president’s performance. In his campaign appearances across the country, President Obama offered strong criticism.
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By exploring what he sees as Trump’s mistakes in driving the pandemic and the economy, Obama is able to speak directly to the voters who have benefited most from his administration, when he created “Obamacare,” the American healthcare system, and brought back the country from the 2008 crisis, generating a long period of growth, job creation and wealth.
Winning Coalition
This good economic moment continued in Trump’s first three years, when the crisis caused by the pandemic ended with full employment in the country. Obama’s performance serves to neutralize Trump’s quest for the good old credits.
– For former Vice President Joe Biden to win, he must ensure that Obama’s winning coalition of voters in 2008 and 2012 has the energy to vote. There is no one better at stimulating this coalition than the man who built it. Former President Barack Obama is the most popular Democrat, if not the most popular man, in the United States today. So far, we see record turnout among young, non-white Democrats in early voting in part because of that, said John Zogby, creator of Zogby Strategies.
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However, Obama’s participation highlights Biden’s problem: his lack of charisma. Although the Democrat does not have the negative image that Hillary carried, he is not the most popular or the best speaker in his party. But with the support of his former running mate and the rejection of Trump, he has everything to get to the White House.
