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Thiago Santos (UP) and Claudia Ribeiro (PSTU) were summoned, but they did not reach 1% of the voting intentions. Víctor Assis (PCO) was rejected by the Electoral Tribunal. Marco Aurélio Meu Amigo, although appearing in the voting intentions, resigned his candidacy.
The percentage of valid votes of each candidate corresponds to the proportion of the candidate’s votes over the total votes, excluding white, invalid and undecided votes. A candidate is elected in the 1st round if he obtains 50% plus one of the valid votes in the official count.
Questions whose percentage sums do not add up to 100% are due to rounding or multiple answers.
Regarding valid votes from the previous Datafolha survey, released on November 11:
- João Campos (PSB) had 33% and rose to 34%
- Marília Arraes (PT) remained at 25%
- Mendonça Filho (DEM) had 20% and now 23%
- Patrícia Patrícia (Pode) had 17% and dropped to 13%
- Colonel Feitosa (PSC) had 1% and rose to 2%
- Carlos (PSL) stayed at 2%
- Marco Aurélio Meu Amigo (PRTB) remained at 1%
- Charbel (new) had less than 1% and now 1%
- Thiago Santos (UP) remained at less than 1%
- Claudia Ribeiro (PSTU) remained at less than 1%
- Victor Assis (PCO) was rejected by the Electoral Court
- João Campos (PSB): 30%
- Marília Arraes (PT): 22%
- Mendonça Filho (DEM): 20%
- Patrícia Patrícia (Podemos): 11%
- Carlos (PSL): 2%
- Colonel Feitosa (PSC): 1%
- Charbel (Novo): 1%
- Blank / null / none: 9%
- Don’t know: 4%
Marco Aurélio Meu Amigo (PRTB), Claudia Ribeiro (PSTU) and Thiago Santos (UP) had less than 1% of the voting intentions. Victor Assis (PCO) was rejected by the Electoral Tribunal.
In relation to the total votes in the previous Datafolha survey, from November 11:
- João Campos (PSB) had 29% and rose to 30%
- Marília Arraes (PT) kept 22%
- Mendonça Filho (DEM) went from 18% to 20%
- Delegate Patricia (Podemos) fell from 15% to 11%
- Carlos (PSL) stayed at 2%
- Colonel Feitosa (PSC) remained at 1%
- Charbel (new) had less than 1% and now has 1%
- Marco Aurélio Meu Amigo (PRTB) remained below 1%
- Claudia Ribeiro (PSTU) remained at less than 1%
- Thiago Santos (UP) remained at less than 1%
- Victor Assis (PCO) was rejected
- Blank / null / none: remained at 9%
- I don’t know: he kept 4%
Datafolha also ran second round simulations among the top 4 ranked candidates in the previous poll, on November 11. Check out:
João Campos (PSB) vs Marília Arraes (PT)
- João Campos: 41%
- Marília Arraes: 35%
- White / null / none: 23%
- I don’t know: 1%
João Campos (PSB) vs Mendonça Filho (DEM)
- João Campos: 48%
- Mendonça Filho: 37%
- White / null / none: 14%
- I don’t know: 1%
João Campos (PSB) x Delegate Patricia (Podemos)
- João Campos: 53%
- Patrícia Patrícia: 29%
- White / null / none: 17%
- I don’t know: 1%
The poll also asked who voters would not vote for at all. The percentages were as follows:
- Patrícia Patrícia (Podemos): 46%
- João Campos (PSB): 35%
- Colonel Feitosa (PSC): 33%
- Mendonça Filho (DEM): 31%
- Marília Arraes (PT): 29%
- Carlos (PSL): 18%
- Charbel (Novo): 18%
- Thiago Santos (UP): 16%
- Claudia Ribeiro (PSTU): 16%
- Marco Aurélio Meu Amigo (PRTB): 15%
- Victor Assis (PCO): had his candidacy rejected by the Electoral Justice
- Wouldn’t vote for any: 3%
- You could vote for all: 1%
- Don’t know / didn’t answer: 4%
In relation to the previous Datafolha survey, published on November 11, the rejection of candidates evolved as follows:
- Delegate Patricia went from 40% to 46%
- João Campos went from 34% to 35%
- Colonel Feitosa went from 30% to 33%
- Mendonça Filho remained at 31%
- Marília Arraes rose from 27% to 29%
- Carlos went from 16% to 18%
- Charbel went from 16% to 18%
- Thiago Santos went from 14% to 16%
- Cláudia Ribeiro went from 13% to 16%
- Marco Aurélio Meu Amigo went from 14% to 15%
- Víctor Assis had his candidacy rejected by the Electoral Justice
- Reject all / I would not vote for none, dropped from 4% to 3%
- I would vote for anyone / not reject any left from 2% to 1%
- I don’t know if it stayed at 4%
Knowledge of the candidate number
The survey also asked voters if they knew how to correctly quote the number of the mayoral candidate they had chosen, and in total 66% did so. The numbers are as follows:
- Correct mentions: 77%
- Incorrect mentions: 4%
- I don’t know the number: 20%
- Correct mentions: 73%
- Incorrect mentions: 3%
- I don’t know the number: 24%
- Correct mentions: 60%
- Incorrect mentions: 8%
- I don’t know the number: 32%
- Correct mentions: 54%
- Incorrect mentions: 4%
- I don’t know the number: 42%
The poll also questioned the voters of the top four candidates on how confident they are about who they will vote for in the first round. In total, 73% said they are fully determined and 26% can still change the vote. Also, 1% do not know. The numbers are as follows:
- Fully determined: 74%
- The vote can still change: 25%
- I don’t know: 1%
- Fully determined: 77%
- The vote can still change: 23%
- I don’t know: 1%
- Fully determined: 73%
- The vote can still change: 26%
- I don’t know: 1%
- Fully determined: 65%
- The vote can still change: 34%
- I don’t know: 1%
The survey also asked voters if it is safe to vote and also if they can stop voting due to the new coronavirus pandemic:
Would you say you feel very, a little or not at all confident about voting in the November 15 elections?
- Very safe: 33%
- A little sure: 37%
- Not safe at all: 28%
- Don’t know: 2%
Can you stop voting for fear of being infected by the coronavirus?
- The survey was commissioned by TV Globo and by the newspaper “Folha de S.Paulo”.
- Margin of error: 2 percentage points more or less
- Who Was Heard: 1,750 Recife Voters
- When the survey was conducted: November 13-14
- TRE-PE identification number: PE-05321/2020
- The confidence level used is 95%. This means that there is a 95% probability that the results reflect the current electoral moment, considering the margin of error.
Electoral polls: what is a sample, margin of error and level of confidence
