Datafolha Survey in Belo Horizonte: Kalil, 60%; João Vitor Xavier, 7%; Gold, 5%; Engler, 3% | 2020 elections in Minas Gerais

According to Datafolha, Kalil leads in all sociodemographic segments and has a higher vote rate among those who approve his management to face the pandemic (73%).

João Vitor Xavier has a greater intention to vote among those who disapprove of the administration to face the pandemic (16%).

In relation to the previous Datafolha survey, published on October 8:

• Kalil (PSD) went from 56% to 60%
• João Vitor Xavier (Citizenship) went from 6% to 7%
• Áurea Carolina (Psol) went from 3% to 5%
• Bruno Engler (PRTB) from 3% to 3%
• 2% Nilmário Miranda (PT) stood at 2%
• Cabo Xavier (PMB) of 1% stood at 1%
• Luisa Barreto (PSDB) went from 0% to 1%
• Marcelo Souza e Silva (Patriota) from 1% was at 1%
• Marília Domingues (PCO) of 1% stood at 1%
• Professor Wendel Mesquita (Solidarity) went from 2% to 1%
• Rodrigo Paiva (Nuevo) went from 2% to 1%
• Fabiano Cazeca (PROS) went from 1% to 0%
• Lafayette Andrada (Republicans) 0% was 0%
• 0% Wadson Ribeiro (PCdoB) was 0%
• Wanderson Rocha (PSTU) went from 1% to 0%
• None / blank / null was 13% to 7%
• Don’t know / Did not answer 7% stayed at 7%

The poll also asked who voters would not vote for. The percentages were as follows:

• Nilmário Miranda (PT) – 28%
• Corporal Xavier (PMB) – 24%
• João Vitor Xavier (Citizenship) – 21%
• Luisa Barreto (PSDB) – 18%
• Áurea Carolina (Psol) – 18%
• Lafayette Andrada (Republicans) – 18%
• Bruno Engler (PRTB) – 17%
• Rodrigo Paiva (new) – 17%
• Wadson Ribeiro (PCdoB) – 16%
• Fabiano Cazeca (Pros) – 16%
• Kalil (PSD): 16%
• Marília Domingues (PCO) – 15%
• Marcelo Souza e Silva (Patriot) – 15%
• Wanderson Rocha (PSTU) – 14%
• Professor Wendel (Solidarity) – 13%
• They would not vote for any of the candidates – 3%
• I could vote for everyone – 5%
• They did not give their opinion – 14%

Respondents could indicate more than one answer, so the sum of the mentioned factors is more than 100%.

Degree of knowledge of the interviewee about the candidate:

• Kalil (PSD): 98% know it (of these, 58% know it very well; 27% a little; 13% only heard it) and 2% do not know
• Nilmário Miranda (PT): 59% know him (of these, 16% know him very well; 15% a little; 29% only heard about him) and 41% do not know him
• João Vitor Xavier (Citizenship): 52% know him (of these, 14% know him very well; 14% a little; 24% only heard about him) and 48% do not know him
• Professor Wendel Mesquita (Solidaridad): 32% know him (of these, 4% know him very well; 7% a little; 20% only heard him) and 68% do not know him
• Rodrigo Paiva (New): 32% know him (of these, 3% know him very well; 9% a little; 20% only heard about him) and 68% do not know him
• Corporal Xavier: 30% know it (of these, 2% know it very well; 7% a little; 21% only heard it) and 70% do not know it
• Lafayette Andrada (Republicans): 28% know him (of these, 3% know him very well, 7% a little, 19% only heard him) and 72% do not know him
• Áurea Carolina (Psol): 27% know it (of these, 6% know it very well; 7% a little; 14% only found out) and 73% do not know it
• Luisa Barreto (PSDB): 19% know it (of these, 1% know it very well; 5% a little; 13% only heard it) and 81% do not know it
• Bruno Engler (PRTB): 18% know him (of these, 3% know him very well, 4% a little, 11% only know) and 82% do not know him
• Marília Domingues (PCO): 17% know (of these, 1% know it very well; 4%, a little; 12% only heard it) and 83% do not know it
• Wadson Ribeiro (PCdoB): 14% know him (of these, 1% know him very well; 4% a little; 8% only heard about him) and 86% do not know him
• Wanderson Rocha (PSTU): 13% know him (of these, 1% know him very well; 2% a little; 9% only heard of him) and 87% do not know him
• Marcelo Souza e Silva (Patriota): 12% know him (of these, 2% know him very well; 2% a little; 8% only heard about him) and 88% do not know him
• Fabiano Cazeca (Pros): 10% know him (of these, 0% know him very well; 2% a little; 8% only heard him) and 90% do not know him

Datafolha also addressed spontaneous voting intentions, when the voter says who they will vote for without the names of the candidates being presented. See the results:

• Kalil (PSD): 49%
• Áurea Carolina (Psol): 3%
• João Vitor Xavier (Citizenship): 3%
• Bruno Engler (PRTB): 2%
• Nilmário Miranda (PT): 1%
• Others: 4%
• Will not vote / will not vote / justify: 1%
• Blank / null / none: 8%
• Don’t know: 28%

The survey was commissioned by TV Globo and the newspaper “Folha de S. Paulo”.

• Margin of error: 3 percentage points more or less
• Who Was Heard: 868 voters from the city of Belo Horizonte.
• When the survey was conducted: October 20-21.
• Identification number in the Electoral Tribunal: MG-02866/2020
• Research contractors: TV Globo and Folha de S.Paulo
• The confidence level used is 95%. This means that there is a 95% probability that the results reflect the current electoral moment, considering the margin of error.

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