:strip_icc()/s01.video.glbimg.com/x720/9030884.jpg)
[ad_1]
A baud rate (Rt) of the new coronavirus returned to Brazil, point tracking from Imperial College London, UK. The update of the estimate was published on Tuesday (17) and considers the data collected up to Monday (16).
- The world has more than 1.3 million deaths from Covid
- The SP government admits for the first time an increase in hospitalizations in November due to Covid-19
The report shows that the index is at 1.10. This means that each group of 100 infected people transmits the virus to 110 other people. The data takes into account the average of the death estimates in the two-week comparison. According to statistics, this rate can be higher (up to Rt = 1.24) or lower (up to Rt = 1.05).
The scientists point out that “the notification of deaths and cases in Brazil is changing; the results must be interpreted with caution.”
In the last week, Brazil reached the lowest value since April: 0.68.
Symbolized by Rt, the “contagion rate” is a number that reflects the potential for spreading a virus: when it is greater than 1, each infected person transmits the disease to more than one person and the disease progresses.
Belo Horizonte has a transmission rate closer to the red level
Estimates for São Paulo
In addition to the Imperial College London estimate, Brazilian researchers also monitor Rt.
In another follow-up, researchers from the University of São Paulo and the Universidade Estadual Paulista noticed that at the beginning of November there was a change in the transmission trend. The contagion curve rose again, reflecting the increase in hospitalizations in mid-October.
In the state of São Paulo, the transmission rate is above 1 (1.05), indicating an accelerated trend in infections. Projections show that it should reach 1.11 next Monday. In the capital, the rate is even higher. The trend is to go from the current 1.36 to 1.41.
Brazil has 166,101 confirmed coronavirus deaths as of 1 pm this Tuesday (17), according to a survey by the consortium of press vehicles based on data from state health departments. The figure is the second largest in the world, only behind the States. United.
The moving average of new infections in the last 7 days had a variation of + 59% in relation to the cases registered in two weeks. This percentage is the highest since June 3.
