[ad_1]
Harvesting soy according to Conab. Photo: Pixabay
The National Supply Company (Conab) has revised soybean production downward and now believes that the country can harvest 122.1 million tons in the 2019/2020 season, still a record. The reason for the decrease is the worsening of crop conditions in Rio Grande do Sul and also in some areas of Paraná and Matopiba.
The current quantity represents 2.1 million tonnes less than the March outlook, which totaled 124.2 million tonnes. This is the first cut since the beginning of the estimates in October and it occurs precisely with the entry into the final stage of the harvest by the country.
“In this survey, the crop portrait shows that the soybean harvest is being finalized. Production is estimated at 122.1 million tons, a record in the historical series, despite the failure of the harvest in Rio Grande do Sul, mainly due to better weather conditions in several producing states, “says Conab.
The 122.1 million tons planted in an area of 36.8 million hectares, represent an increase of 6.1% compared to the 2018/2019 crop, where 115 million tons of soy were harvested.
From record to break
It is not news that the worst rest of this harvest will be in Rio Grande do Sul, due to the prolonged droughts. The current estimate predicts a harvest of just 13.3 million tons there, not less than a 30.5% drop from the all-time record of 19.1 million tons harvested the previous season.
In fact, Conab carried out a major revision of the state’s estimates, since in March the prospect was still that they would harvest 16.8 million tons, that is, 3.5 million tons less, a result more approximate to the proposed estimates. by the Department of Paraná Rural Economy (Deral).
“In Rio Grande do Sul, the situation of the crops worsened in relation to the last survey. The almost absence of rain in March caused an increase in losses. The drought, which affected the crop in practically all phases, is now included in the list of the worst ever seen in the state, “says Conab.
Who else should harvest less?
Of the 20 states that Conab monitors, only two will record crop failure compared to the previous season. The first is already safe and has already been mentioned, Rio Grande do Sul with a 30.5% reduction in the harvest. The second, also from the south of the country, is Santa Catarina.
There, a harvest of 2.37 million tons is expected, that is, 0.5% less than the 2.38 million tons of the 2018/2019 harvest. As of March, Conab still predicted that Santa Catarina would harvest 2.45 million tons, but revised downward after the field survey.
From rest to record
If on the one hand there is a big break, on the other there are those who make up for the losses. The change of roles between Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul is curious. In the last harvest, the Paraná harvested only 16.2 million tons, a sharp drop of 15.2% due to prolonged droughts. But this year they are expected to harvest 28% more, reaching the record mark of 20.8 million tons produced in one season. That if everything goes well.
“In the southern region, in the crops of Paraná, the rains occurred regularly throughout almost the entire cycle of this crop, however, the drought that punishes the crops that are still in fruition can damage the final productive potential,” says Conab. .
Who will produce more?
In addition to Paraná, which has so far registered the second largest increase in production in the country, four other states are boosting national production to break the record and registering increases in their production, exceeding 10%:
The highest growth in production is from São Paulo, which is expected to harvest 4.1 million tons, an impressive 34.2% more than the 3 million tons of the 2018/2019 harvest. Then comes Mato Grosso do Sul, with an increase of 19.7%, from 8.5 million tons to 10.1 million tons in this harvest. Minas Gerais should have a 16% increase in production reaching 5.8 million tons, compared to 5 million last year. Finally, closing the list comes Tocantins with a 14% increase in production, reaching 3.3 million tons, compared to 2.9 million in the last harvest.
But what about Mato Grosso, does he appear on that list? Yes, but not as the largest increase in production, but rather as the state that holds the title of largest national grain producer with 34.9 million tons, an increase of 7.5% compared to 32.4 million tons of the 2018/2019 harvest.
See more soy news
