Bolsonaro’s confidence about 2022 destoa two fatos – 05/10/2020



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“Vou sair em 1º de janeiro de 2027”, said Jair Bolsonaro, in resolute stamp, to a homem who used to utter a phrase incomum not close to Alvorada: “A democracy can be due to your resignation or impeachment.” A resposta do capitão reveals that he continues to give cheaply that he will be reelected in 2022. Will it be?

In politics, as in life, or future and conditioned by an implacable triad: death, or error and unforeseen. Or coronaviruses dissolve all certainties. Bolsonaro reigns à pandemic as subverter or brocardo is desired, proving that erring that one learns … to err. Your political project is not morreu, more subiu no telhado.

If tiver or what to show in 2022, it will be for Bolsonaro to recandidate. Or diabo é that, in addition to dealing inappropriately with a health crisis, or the president does not have credentials to build a political stability indispensable to or confronting the economic depression that is about to come. Otherwise, Bolsonaro makes crises.

Two months ago, Bolsonaro cultivated a polarization with PT. It equips itself for a dispute in which Lula’s prepost would go to the polls as a favorite candidate to become an opponent or reelected president of Brazil. As viruses, that logic is bateu num iceberg. It is not known what will survive.

Represented in the second shift of 2018 by Fernando Haddad, Lula continues to drag the conjuncture to the currents of the failure of Dilma and the epidemic of corruption that led to mensalão and a petrolão. The rest, or social regulation imposed on the petista divindade a home prison species.

Bolsonaro has two balls in the pênalti brand: Lava Jato and economic recovery. I lost both. Or lavajatismo was of glass. E broke down with a thunderous departure from Sergio Moro do Ministério da Justiça. A promise of prosperity mixou before pandemic. Com o vírus, foi para o beleléu.

Since the beginning of the crise do coronavírus, Bolsonaro oscillates between the negation of “influenza” and the unrealism of “volta à normalidade”. Ao express your aversion to social isolation, or president disseminate a phrase that sums up your vision of the drama: “It is economy to thrive, or Brazil, ends or my government.”

It has not been remotely dúvida quanto ao mergulho da economy. Knowing disso, Bolsonaro strives for political survival by playing the blame for depressing and or assuming that he is in favor of the governors, prefects and ministers of the Supreme Federal Court.

Bolsonaro condemned a fazer campanha eleitoral num inospito place. Nem levers nem redes sociais. He will ask for votes in 2022 by the side of the corpses of 2020. He praises the obvious names of the semper, he has also made a number of candidates on the candidate list.

Will there be governors not role of applicants? Will Sergio Moro survive the attacks of the virtual militia of Bolsonarism? Luciano Huck raise a showcase? Or viruses turned to dispute more, let’s say, open.

Or electoral process was gradually losing the appearance that Bolsonaro tried to give to dispute, treated by him as mere formality to renew or mandate of a myth.

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