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THE Basque He did not play this Saturday, but saw a very negative result. THE Bay Hit the force 4-0 at Castelão and moved away from the relegation zone. By table, the probability of relegation of the Rio de Janeiro club increased -much-.
According to Five thirty eight, partner site of ESPN and specialist statistician, Vanderlei Luxembourg’s team now has an 88% chance of losing in Serie B. Before the round, the figure was 71%. That is, there was an increase of 17 percentage points.
The São Januário team has 37 points and two more games to play. Bahía and Fortaleza add 41 goals, four more, with one round ahead. The Bahians still have two more victories than Vasco, and this is the first tiebreaker.
This Basque Sunday visit the Corinthians skin brazilian championship and, in case of defeat, it will already be mathematically degraded. Also according to FiveThirtyEight, there is a 47% chance of victory for Vagner Mancini’s team at Neo Química Arena, with 27% for the draw and 26% for a win for the visitors.
The one who got it right with the result, of course, was Bahia. Before, with a 38% chance of being demoted, he now only has a 4% chance of falling. Fortaleza, in turn, saw their numbers increase from 6% to 15%.
THE Go was another to regret, going from 86% to 92% chance of falling.
