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Brazil has once again exceeded the moving average of a thousand deaths per day in the last week, the first time since August 11. According to the press consortium of which Twitter It is part, the country has registered 483 deaths in the last 24 hours. Still, the country averaged 1,016 deaths per day per week, a 65% increase from the 14-day variation.
In total, the country has 203,140 deaths. The number of cases, in turn, increased by 29,153 in just 24 hours, reaching 8,104,823 in total. The maximums confirm the prognosis of infectologists. The country accelerated again two weeks after the start of the Christmas season. The trend is for the numbers to grow even more in the coming days.
No descending state
No state in the country has seen a drop in the moving average, an unprecedented mark as of this week. The Federal District and 17 states experienced an acceleration, while 9 maintained stability.
Among the regions, all of them showed acceleration: Midwest (33%), Northeast (28%), North (106%), Southeast (95%) and South (40%).
Health data
The Ministry of Health released today the record of 469 new deaths caused by the coronavirus in the last 24 hours. Since the beginning of the pandemic, the disease has killed 203,100 people across the country.
From yesterday to today, 29,792 more cases of covid-19 have been confirmed in Brazil. The total number of infected people amounted to 8,105,790. last Thursday (7), Brazil broke a record by surpassing the mark of 87 thousand registered cases.
Brazil is the third country with the highest number of cases, only behind the United States and India, according to Johns Hopkins University, which tracks the evolution of the pandemic in the world, and the second in number of deaths, only behind the United States. USA.
According to the federal government, 7,167,651 people recovered from the disease, with another 735,039 being followed.
Experts indicate the calculation of the moving average
To measure the situation of deaths from covid-19, experts indicate using the moving average of deaths, which calculates the average of records observed in the last seven days. The operation is the most suitable to observe the trend of the statistics, since it balances the abrupt variations of the numbers throughout the week.
The media consortium adopted this period to verify fluctuations in the moving average. We can speak of a drop in figures when the drop is greater than 15% if it is verified in the last 14 days, in this case the period of the last two weeks. If the numbers rise more than 15%, the epidemic accelerates. Intermediate values indicate stability.
See the situation by state and in the Federal District:
Southeast region
- Espírito Santo: stable (-2%)
- Minas Gerais: acceleration (82%)
- Rio de Janeiro: acceleration (145%)
- São Paulo: acceleration (97%)
Northern region
- Amazon: acceleration (218%)
- Amapá: acceleration (56%)
- Rondônia: acceleration (39%)
- Roraima: acceleration (500%)
- Tocantins: acceleration (200%)
Northeast Region
- Ceará: acceleration (400%)
- Maranhão: stable (-4%)
- Paraíba: acceleration (23%)
- Pernambuco: stable (11%)
- Piauí: acceleration (19%)
- Rio Grande do Norte: acceleration (50%)
- Sergipe: acceleration (38%)
Central West Region
- Federal District: acceleration (30%)
- Goiás: acceleration (48%)
- Mato Grosso: acceleration (81%)
- Mato Grosso do Sul: stable (4%)
Southern region
- Paraná: acceleration (78%)
- Rio Grande do Sul: acceleration (29%)
- Santa Catarina: stable (4%)
