Ibope poll in Fortaleza, valid votes: Sarto, 32%; Wagner, 30%; Luizianne, 20% | 2020 elections in Ceará

Candidates Anízio Melo (PC do B), Paula Colares (UP) and Samuel Braga (Patriota) did not score.

The percentage of valid votes of each candidate corresponds to the proportion of the candidate’s votes over the total votes, excluding white, invalid and undecided votes. A candidate is elected in the 1st round if he obtains 50% plus one of the valid votes in the official count.

Questions whose percentage sums do not add up to 100% are due to rounding or multiple answers.

Regarding valid votes from the previous Ibope survey, on November 3:

• Sarto (PDT) remained at 32%
• Captain Wagner (PROS) stayed at 30%
• Luizianne Lins (PT) went from 26% to 20%
• Heitor Férrer (SD) went from 4% to 6%
• Célio Studart (PV) went from 2% to 3%
• Renato Roseno (PSOL) went from 2% to 3%
• Heitor Freire (PSL) went from 2% to 4%
• Anízio Melo (PC do B) went from 1% to 0%
• Samuel Braga (Patriota) stayed at 0%
• José Loureto (PCO) remained at 1%
• Paula Colares (UP) stayed at 0%

• Tailor (PDT): 29%
• Captain Wagner (PROS): 27%
• Luizianne Lins (PT): 18%
• Heitor Férrer (SD): 5%
• Célio Studart (HP): 3%
• Renato Roseno (PSOL): 3%
• Heitor Freire (PSL): 3%
• José Loureto (OPC): 1%
• None / blank / null: 8%
• Don’t know / No answer: 2%

Candidates Anízio Melo (PC do B), Paula Colares (UP) and Samuel Braga (Patriota) did not score.

Regarding Total votes in the previous Ibope survey, from November 3:

• Sarto stayed at 29%
• Captain Wagner stayed at 27%
• Luizianne Lins went from 24% to 18%
• Heitor Férrer went from 4% to 5%
• Célio Studart went from 2% to 3%
• Renato Roseno went from 2% to 3%
• Heitor Freire went from 2% to 3%
• Anízio Melo remained at 0%
• Samuel Braga kept 0%
• José Loureto went from 0% to 1%
• Paula Colares stayed at 0%
• Blank / null: 6% to 8%
• I don’t know / No answer: went from 3% to 2%

See the previous Ibope survey, November 3

See the Ibope survey in Fortaleza on October 14

Ibope also ran second round simulations among the top ranked candidates in the previous poll, on November 3. Check out:

Sarto (PDT) vs Captain Wagner (PROS)

• Sarto: 48%
• Captain Wagner: 36%
• White / Null: 12%
• Don’t know / No answer: 5%

Tailor (PDT) x Luizianne Lins (PT)

• Sarto: 47%
• Luizianne Lins: 29%
• White / Null: 17%
• Don’t know / No answer: 7%

Captain Wagner (PROS) vs Luizianne Lins (PT)

• Captain Wagner: 42%
• Luizianne Lins: 38%
• White / Null: 15%
• Don’t know / No answer: 2%

The poll also asked who voters would not vote for at all. The percentages were as follows:

• Luizianne Lins: 39%
• Captain Wagner: 37%
• Sarto: 19%
• Renato Roseno: 13%
• Heitor Freire: 13%
• Héctor Férrer: 12%
• Anízio Melo: 12%
• Célio Studart: 12%
• Samuel Braga: 11%
• Paula Colares: 10%
• José Loureto: 9%
• You could vote for all: 1%
• Don’t know or prefer not to comment: 7%

Respondents could indicate more than one answer, so the sum of the mentioned factors is more than 100%.

• The survey was commissioned by TV Verdes Mares
• Margin of error: 3 percentage points more or less
• Who Was Heard: 805 voters in the city of Fortaleza
• When the survey was conducted: November 12-13
• Identification number in the Electoral Tribunal: CE-07648/2020
• The confidence level used is 95%. This means that there is a 95% probability that the results reflect the current electoral moment, considering the margin of error.

Electoral polls: what is a sample, margin of error and level of confidence

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