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US President Donald Trump is expected to end his term on January 20, 2021, but has yet to admit defeat and his campaign team continues to make unsubstantiated allegations of voter fraud. Newsweek .
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But it seems increasingly unlikely that Trump will be in the Oval Office for a second term as US states certify their elections and prepare their voters for the next president.
Trump’s refusal to acknowledge his opponent’s victory and allegations of voter fraud have led some of his critics to speculate that he could behave as if he had won the election and even hold an alternate inauguration.
“It looks like we’re headed for an Avignon presidency. As long as the military doesn’t change its allegiance (and I don’t think it will) it will be incredibly fun,” Jeet Heer, internal affairs correspondent for The Nation, said on Twitter.
Heer refers to a period in the history of the Catholic Church when there were two rival popes, one in Rome and the other in Avignon.
“I mean, Biden will be sworn in and have the government on his side on January 20. Trump will lose power but will continue to pretend to be president. Maybe he will establish an alternate White House in Mar-a-Lago (not one of Trump’s exclusive clubs Heer continued.
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The idea has gained a following online, especially among critics of the president, especially since he and his supporters continue to say he won the election.
Lawyers for the Republican president’s team, led by his personal attorney, Rudy Giuliani, said Thursday that Trump won an overwhelming majority.
Elizabeth Sanders is Professor Emeritus in the Department of Government Studies at Cornell University, whose interests include the executive branch and the evolution of American politics.
She told Newsweek that Trump’s threat is being exaggerated and that Republicans are already looking to a future without him.
“I think people have exaggerated their fears about Trump,” Sanders said, adding that “it will fade into the background as his party seeks more traction leaders.” Remember that both Republican Senate candidates are concerned that Trump will be a ‘burden’ on their electoral chances. “
Sanders is referring to two Georgia Senate elections that entered the second round and will be contested by Republicans Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue.
Justin Crowe, associate professor of political science at Williams College, agrees that the chance of an “Avignon presidency” is small. One of Crowe’s areas of expertise is constitutional theory and law.
“Whether he’s trying to sustain his popular support for a potential 2024 nomination, raise money to pay off campaign debts, or build momentum for any media business of his own, Trump can engage in a variety of activities to keep him on track. public attention but the idea that it will try to constitute a rival administration is quite out of place, “he said.
“Could you hold a rally at the same time as Biden’s inauguration?” Possible. Will we still see him calling out “Fox and his friends” to criticize everything Biden does and says? Probable. Will he Twitter about the poor ratings of Biden’s speeches and how he really deserves credit for the positive developments related to COVID and the economy, as well as redistributing strange ideas about how the election was rigged? Absolutely, “Crowe said.
“But how deeply weird and shameful all of this is compared to the history of the behavior of former presidents (and long-term disturbing and corrosive to democratic norms) will be a significant distance from trying to lead a shadow or government government. less continues to pretend to be president, “says the American expert.
“This would involve a lot more effort and planning than you are willing to invest [Trump] right now, ”concludes Crowe.
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