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Democratic White House candidate former Vice President Joe Biden has a crushing new advantage over Republican opponent, incumbent President Donald Trump, The Guardian reports.
According to a poll commissioned by the British newspaper, 57% of Americans would prefer the Democratic candidate, while 40% would choose to give Trump another term. The 17 percentage point difference is the largest Biden has recorded so far, in the context in which the former vice president has always been higher in the polls than Trump.
There are only three weeks left until the US presidential election, and millions of votes have already been cast in many US states through the early voting system.
According to the poll, Biden managed to attract another 5% of voters in the last month alone, after President Trump became infected with the coronavirus and made several controversial decisions, including refusing to participate in the second online debate.
Opinium, the institute that conducted the survey, interviewed 2,003 Americans age 18 and older between October 8 and 12. The interviews were conducted online and the sampling was done in a manner relevant to the demographics of the adult population in the United States, but also to the way voters cast their vote in the last election.
How things looked in 2016 and what a “red mirage” meant on Election Day
In the same period, 4 years ago, the advantage that the then Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton, had was 4-5 percentage points, close to the margin of error in the polls. The presidency of the United States does not win, but the candidate with the most votes, but the candidate who manages to win the vote in enough states to obtain a sufficient number (270) of electoral votes in the American electoral college. However, Biden also leads in many of the competitive states, many of them essential to Trump’s efforts to receive a new term.
In addition, Biden’s overwhelming advantage comes in the context in which voting by mail reached record levels during the pandemic, of those who voted this way, 75% expressed their preference for the former vice president, while only 22% of them prefer Donald Trump.
Thus, on the day of the vote, a so-called “red mirage” is possible: Trump will appear to have won an extremely large number of states at the polls, in the context in which the majority of Biden’s voters will be voted by mail. , and in the opening of the envelopes and the subsequent count, the votes show a defeat for the current president.
In this context, it is feared that Trump will begin to spread and maintain conspiracy theories and declare himself victorious before all the votes are counted.
Publisher: Adrian Dumitru
