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“The situation is very serious. Every week we add 30,000 infections. Now the calculated incidence in the resident population is 2.49, but at the end of the week we could reach 3 and we could all enter quarantine. The curve for this week is 44 (ie 4,400 cases is the average every seven days). If the trend is confirmed tomorrow or Friday we reach 6,000 cases. We cannot exceed 7,000 cases “, explained Octavian Jurma.
The researcher also says that on a plateau of more than 3,000 cases a day, the health system is stagnant. “We can no longer afford it,” he explained.
Jurma: “We will have 150 daily deaths”
Regarding deaths, the specialist says he expected a similar figure, but today’s figure slightly exceeded expectations.
“There were 103 deaths in today’s forecast, but we had 104. There will be more fluctuations, but we will get used to these numbers. In mid-November it is possible to have 150 deaths a day. 134 deaths, ”Octavian Jurma also showed.
Also read: Dr. Beatrice Mahler: “I hope the medical staff are healthy and get over it. A very difficult period will follow.”
The researcher also said that the evolution of the epidemic is fast, but slow enough to allow us to get used to it.
“In a week the number of more than 100 deaths will not seem high. We expect to enter a plateau phase next week, although the numbers are huge. But this week we have increases, so this plateau is moving away,” said the expert.
The message of politicians must be reinforced by experts
The doctor also said that it would be better if not only politicians speak about the coronavirus pandemic.
“In a moment of crisis like this, it would be good for a right-wing expert who is talking about the epidemic to be an expert. I think it is an unwillingness to follow the epidemiological curve.
Asymptomatic patients are no longer reported. In addition, we should see the incidence of each city to know what behavior to have. They tell us to act, but they don’t show us why.
This reduces confidence. It is as if a doctor tells a patient that he needs chemotherapy, but does not show him the tests. We have the impression that data is hidden from us. We would like to be treated like adults, ”said Octavian Jurma.
The mask could stop the pandemic
The expert also says that wearing protective masks would be the best way to prevent infection today. But people are tired and no longer trust the authorities.
“The most effective solution is to use universal masks. From an epidemiological point of view, it would work like a vaccine. Those who have had coronavirus are immunized, but others can protect themselves.
If, in a state of emergency, the president had said, for example, that he would get us out of quarantine sooner if we wore a mask for a year, without setting conditions, then we would have seen this as a freedom, not a restriction. .
The population is demoralized, and this helps even those who do not follow the rules, drawing to their side those who have so far made sacrifices in the fight against the pandemic. I know people who have never sent their children to study abroad, they have isolated themselves, they have followed rules. During this time, many do not wear masks and do not respect the measures, ”Jurma also specified.
The expert also said that at this moment “we are upside down. It will take a while and the medical system will fail and then we will see the consequences. If we begin to respect the measures now, next week, on December 1 we could have 2,500”. daily cases of infections “.
Romania reported on Tuesday, October 27, 2020, the highest number of deaths since the beginning of the pandemic: 104 deaths in 24 hours. 824 patients are hospitalized in ATI.
Read also:
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