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On Friday, before the local elections, I had a discussion with a friend from Bucharest, a corporatist:
Change your tone too, ZF killed me with alarmist headlines (Facebook alerts – no.) – “Analysts Herald Disaster!”; “The lion is depreciating!”; “There will be inflation!” You will kill the world in panic before we all die from the virus :). Seriously, change something, because I don’t think this alarmist tone is helping anyone. We all get pessimistic! The economy is in decline and children remain illiterate. I’m telling you, none of this is relevant. I want hot water :))). … I want to leave the country :)). But that is another story. Until then, change the tone. That the world is tired. In my opinion!
On Sunday September 27, at the time of the coronavirus, the 2020 local elections were held, a turnout of more than 83 billion lei per year, that is, 332 billion lei in four years (more than 67 billion euros ), 50,000 candidates to be elected. and 443,000 employees in the local public administration.
There is no shortage of money and salaries in the public administration, which are higher than in the private sector, should not be neglected.
Exit polls indicate that Nicusor Dan won the capital’s mayoralty, but until the votes are counted, Gabriela Firea, the incumbent mayor, will not admit defeat.
PSD lost four sectors in the Capital.
At the country level, we will know the final results from tomorrow morning.
But until then, some conclusions:
one. USR / PLUS is the winner of the local elections because Nicusor Dan won the Bucharest City Council, Clotilde Armand, another alliance leader is in first place in sector 1, and Radu Mihaiu, a quasi-stranger, is in first place in sector two. USR can also claim victory in Timisoara, where a German, Domic Fritz, took the face of the eternal mayor Robu.
two. The PSD is losing in the local elections (Ciolacu says the opposite, because the result is better than in the European Parliament) because Gabriela Firea lost the Capital City Hall, symbol of power in Romania, plus four district mayors, to outsiders. We still don’t know what the result is in the country.
3. PSD lost massively – although it had almost all the money of the local administration plus almost half a million employees, with all their relatives – to USR and PNL, parties that relied on a speech against the red plague and perpetuation in power. without doing anything. Look at Constanţa, where the incumbent mayor, Decebal Făgădău, came out in third place, the mayor’s office is disputed between the NLP and USR candidates.
The PSD loses not because Iohannis, Orban or Rareş Bogdan made a negative announcement to them, but because there are no investments in the local economy and the PSD administration distributed electoral gifts, rather than bringing business into the economy.
Four. Ludovic Orban and PNL say that they won the local elections because they will have the most political votes, that is, in the county councils, which indicates a result of the parliamentary elections. Basescu draws Orban’s attention to the fact that he lost Bucharest because, at the Bucharest General Council level, the NLP got only 17%.
5. Ludovic Orban and Dan Barna consolidated their political position at the level of the PNL and USR parties:
Orban does not have the best friendship with Klaus Iohannis, and many were waiting to see what the result of the local elections would be to position themselves and choose a winning side. Orban, also busy with the health management of this crisis, a highly criticized management, emerges reinforced from these elections.
Dan Barna, the head of the USR, returns to the forefront after the disaster of the presidential elections when he began to be challenged in the party, but also as a leader at the national level. Now, through the mayoralties won and the political votes gathered, USR leads, of course in alliance with PLUS, again in the foreground, politically complicating things, especially since the relationship of this alliance with Klaus Iohannis and PNL does not mean champagne and caviar. at every meeting.
6. Traian Băsescu, although he lost, managed to make the PMP the vote broker in the Bucharest General Council, which saved the party and gives some hope for the December parliamentary elections.
7. Călin Popescu-Tăriceanu and Victor Ponta do not have their own, so they have to find allies. I hope the two former prime ministers do not have the political fate of Petre Roman.
8. Those between 30 and 45 years old will become the main urban political mass, which the parties must take into account, more than those from rural areas.
9. In Bucharest, turnout was higher than in the elections four years ago, making Nicusor Dan, Clotilde Armand and Radu Mihaiu winners. At the national level, participation was lower than four years ago.
10. By winning the mayoralty of the capital, Nicusor Dan can sit at the great political table, not only in the parks, and become an enemy of the NLP and even the USR because he can confuse his accounts, given that this 12-year political career ( for those of you who don’t know, he ran to the Capital for the third time) and built it himself, with determination and psychic resistance to all attacks. The new political masses, those between 30 and 45 years old, could identify with him, with Nicusor Dan, and at the national level.
eleven. Let’s see how PNL and USR will be understood after these results, because at the local level alliances must be established, and PNL prefers to ally itself with PSD than with the neo-Marxists and USR Taliban.
But beyond the electoral result, the two issues of the corporatist remain in force: hot water and “I want to leave the country!”
Let’s see how Nicusor Dan will give hot water (Gabriela Firea says that it was sabotaged by ELCEN, which is subordinate to the government; Nicusor Dan announces that it will collaborate with the government on all issues of the Capital).
And as for leaving the country, a desire that is again strongly present among those between 20 and 45 years old, the hopes are that the USR and PNL, who won the local elections and are favorites in the parliamentary elections, will have a political plan. . and economic that gives hope that Romania will be better, at least in the next four years and thus, those who want to leave, think again.
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